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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens: 2024 Week 16 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (10-4) at Baltimore Ravens (9-5) The Steelers are typically a good bet as underdogs under Mike Tomlin, going 57-38 ATS since Tomlin’s first season in 2007. However, they do have a strong trend working against them in this spot, as teams are 44-61 ATS as underdogs in a…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers: 2024 Week 16 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (9-5) at Los Angeles Chargers (8-6) The Broncos got off to a slow start this season, losing their first two games of the season, games in which they lost the first down rate battle by a combined 6.98% and the yards per play battle by a combined 0.50.…
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Continue reading →: 2024 Week 15 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week DET 30 (-2.5) BUF 24 High Confidence Picks ATL 20 (-3.5) LV 12 Medium Confidence Picks NYJ 19 JAX 17 (+3.5) DEN 19 IND 17 (+4.5) MIN 26 (-6.5) CHI 17 ARZ 28 (-6) NE 19 Low Confidence Picks SEA 24 (+2.5) GB 23 Upset Pick…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers: 2024 Week 15 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (7-6) at San Francisco 49ers (6-7) Both of these teams had impressive results last week. The Rams pulled the upset over the Bills, who are one of the best teams in the league, winning by a final score of 44-42. The 49ers faced a much easier opponent…
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Continue reading →: 2024 Week 14 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week KC 17 LAC 16 (+4) High Confidence Picks MIN 20 ATL 17 (+6) PIT 20 CLE 16 (+7) Medium Confidence Picks DET 30 (-3) GB 24 CIN 33 (-5.5) DAL 24 BUF 26 LAR 24 (+3.5) Low Confidence Picks ARZ 24 (-2.5) SEA 20 SF 23…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions: 2024 Week 14 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (9-3) at Detroit Lions (11-1) The Lions have a big statistical edge in this matchup. Both teams have yards per play differentials, with the Packers at +0.89 and the Lions at +0.87, but the Lions have a huge edge in first down rate differential (+5.92% vs. +1.11%),…
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Continue reading →: 2024 Week 13 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week DET 30 (-10) CHI 13 High Confidence Picks WAS 27 (-5.5) TEN 17 JAX 24 (+3.5) HOU 23 Upset Pick +160 Medium Confidence Picks DAL 17 NYG 16 (+4) MIN 23 ARZ 21 (+3.5) Low Confidence Picks GB 24 (-3) MIA 19 BAL 24 (-2.5) PHI…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions: 2024 Week 13 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (4-7) at Detroit Lions (10-1) The Bears are healthier than they’ve been in recent weeks, particularly on the offensive line, where tackles Braxton Jones and Darnell Wright and guard Teven Jenkins have missed time recently, and on defense, where edge defenders Montez Sweat and Darrell Taylor and cornerback…
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Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs: 2024 Week 13 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (2-9) Kansas City Chiefs (10-1) This game is a tough call from an against the spread perspective, with the Chiefs favored by 13.5 points. On one hand, the Chiefs are 10-1, but haven’t blown out many teams, with just two wins by more than 7 points, one…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers: 2024 Week 13 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (5-6) at Green Bay Packers (8-3) The Packers are in a good spot here as a non-divisional home favorite on a Thursday. It’s very tough for teams to travel on a short week and face an unfamiliar non-divisional opponent, unless they are significantly better than that opponent, and,…
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