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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys: 2024 Week 13 NFL Pick
New York Giants (2-9) at Dallas Cowboys (4-7) The Cowboys pulled the huge upset in Washington last weekend, but I’m not sure they can bring that kind of effort two weeks in a row. Teams tend to fall back to earth after big upsets like that, covering the spread at…
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Continue reading →: 2024 Week 12 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week PHI 23 (-2.5) LAR 17 High Confidence Picks GB 23 SF 20 (+6.5) Medium Confidence Picks PIT 19 CLE 17 (+3.5) MIN 17 CHI 16 (+3.5) HOU 24 (-7.5) TEN 13 Low Confidence Picks MIA 25 NE 20 (+7.5) DEN 17 (-5.5) LV 10 BAL 24…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns: 2024 Week 12 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2) at Cleveland Browns (2-8) The Steelers are 8-2, while the Browns are 2-8, so it might be surprising that the Steelers are only favored by 3.5 points in this game, even on the road. Most people seem to be surprised by the line, which is why about…
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Continue reading →: 2024 Week 11 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week BAL 24 (-3) PIT 16 High Confidence Picks PHI 26 (-3) WAS 17 KC 27 (+2.5) BUF 24 Upset Pick +115 Medium Confidence Picks ATL 20 (+2) DEN 17 Upset Pick +115 NO 20 (PK) CLE 16 Low Confidence Picks SF 30 (-6.5) SEA 21 GB…
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Continue reading →: Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles: 2024 Week 11 NFL Pick
Washington Commanders (7-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (7-2) Both of these teams have great records and whoever wins this game will be in first place in the NFC East, but the Eagles have been the better of these two teams. While the Commanders have a solid +1.80% first down rate differential…
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Continue reading →: 2024 Week 10 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week BAL 34 (-6) CIN 21 High Confidence Picks None Medium Confidence Picks NYG 20 (-6.5) CAR 10 ATL 24 (-3.5) NO 17 CHI 20 NE 16 (+6.5) SF 30 (-6.5) TB 20 DET 24 HOU 23 (+3.5) Low Confidence Picks ARZ 24 (+1.5) NYJ 23 Upset…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens: 2024 Week 10 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (4-5) at Baltimore Ravens (6-3) The Ravens don’t have the best record in the league, but statistically they have been the best team in the league by a wide margin. Their yards per play differential of +1.50 leads the league, with no other team better than +1.25 and…
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Continue reading →: 2024 Week 9 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week ATL 30 (-3) DAL 20 High Confidence Picks LAC 24 (-1) CLE 17 SEA 24 (+1.5) LAR 20 Upset Pick +105 Medium Confidence Picks TEN 20 (-3) NE 13 ARZ 21 (-1) CHI 16 PHI 27 JAX 23 (+7.5) MIN 23 IND 20 (+6) Low Confidence…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at New York Jets: 2024 Week 9 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (6-2) at New York Jets (2-6) This line favors the Jets by 1.5 at home, suggesting these two teams are about even. That might be surprising, given that the Jets are 2-6 and the Texans are 6-2, but these two teams are much closer than that suggests. In…
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Continue reading →: 2024 Week 8 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week SF 27 (-3.5) DAL 17 High Confidence Picks SEA 24 (+3) BUF 23 Upset Pick +140 HOU 24 IND 23 (+5) JAX 31 (+4) GB 30 Upset Pick +175 Medium Confidence Picks LAC 23 (-7) NO 13 Low Confidence Picks CHI 24 WAS 23 (+3) BAL…
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