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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers: 2015 Week 17 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-9) at Carolina Panthers (14-1) The Panthers’ undefeated season attempt ended with last week’s road loss in Atlanta, but that doesn’t mean that the Panthers are going take it easy in their final regular season game this week. In fact, it likely means the opposite because now…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears: 2015 Week 17 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (6-9) at Chicago Bears (6-9) I don’t have too strong of a feel for this one, but this line seems too low at a pick em. That suggests that the Lions are 3 points better than the home team Bears, which I disagree with. The Bears rank 18th…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants: 2015 Week 17 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (7-8) at New York Giants (6-9) I want to preface this write up by saying I wouldn’t put money on either side. It’s going to be tough to know the emotional state of both of these teams. The Eagles got eliminated last Saturday with a home loss to…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals: 2015 Week 17 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (9-6) at Arizona Cardinals (13-2) I’ve thought for a while that the Cardinals were the most underrated team in the NFL. I’ve taken them in every week since week 2. Despite the fact that the Panthers didn’t lose their first game of the season until last week, I…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins: 2015 Week 17 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (12-3) at Miami Dolphins (5-10) The Patriots are traditionally very good off of a loss, going 34-17 ATS all-time off a loss with Tom Brady as the starting quarterback. However, I’m going to go against them this week for three reasons. For one, teams are 81-105 ATS…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals: 2015 Week 17 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (5-10) at Cincinnati Bengals (11-4) I’m completely torn on this one. On one hand, the Ravens are in a good spot because divisional road underdogs are 57-31 ATS in a same season regular season rematch against a team they previously lost to as divisional home favorites, since 2002.…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys: 2015 Week 17 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (8-7) at Dallas Cowboys (4-11) Ordinarily, I would be all over the Redskins as 3.5 point underdogs here in Dallas, for three reasons. The first is that the Cowboys tend to struggle as hosts, particularly as home favorites, going 8-25 ATS as home favorites since 2010. The second…
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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos: 2015 Week 17 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (4-11) at Denver Broncos (11-4) The Chargers are just 4-11, one of the worst records in the NFL, but rank 11th in rate of moving the chains differential. How can that be? Well, their record is largely the result of a 3-7 record in games decided by…
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Continue reading →: St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers: 2015 Week 17 NFL Pick
St. Louis Rams (7-8) at San Francisco 49ers (4-11) The Rams have gone from being favored by 2.5 points on the early line last week to being favored by 3.5 points this week. That might not seem like a huge difference, but about 1 in 6 games are decided by…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Buffalo Bills: 2015 Week 17 NFL Pick
New York Jets (10-5) at Buffalo Bills (7-8) I really wish we were still getting points with the Jets, like we were last week, when they were underdogs of 1.5 in Buffalo on the early line. The line hasn’t moved to the opposite 3 yet, but the Jets are now…
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