-
Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings 2014 Off-Season Report
2013 Recap In 2012, the Vikings rode a historic season from Adrian Peterson all the way to the post-season. In 2013, Peterson went back to being just very good and the Vikings ended up winning just 5 games. Peterson rushed for 831 fewer yards in 2013 than 2012. 1266 yards…
-
Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2014 Off-Season Report
2013 Recap The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have dished out more big contracts over the past few years than perhaps any team in the NFL. They’ve re-signed Davin Joseph (7 years, 52.5 million), Donald Penn (6 years, 41.7 million), Mike Williams (6 years, 40.25 million), and Quincy Black (5 years, 29…
-
Continue reading →: 2009 NFL Draft Redo
1. Detroit Lions- QB Matt Stafford (Georgia) If the Lions had to do it all over again, I don’t think they’d change anything here. After some early career injury problems, Stafford has played all 48 games in the past 3 seasons, completing 60.7% of passes for an average of 7.24…
-
Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons 2014 Off-Season Report
2013 Recap The Falcons were definitely going to regress this season. The average 13-win team wins 9.5 games the following season. The Falcons played just 2 eventual playoff teams in 2012 and went 7-2 in games decided by a touchdown or less. They had an unsustainable +13 turnover margin, which…
-
Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders 2014 Off-Season Report
2013 Recap Before Reggie McKenzie and Dennis Allen came in, the Raiders were one of the most poorly run franchises in football, towards the end of the Al Davis era and ensuing Hue Jackson era, which saw him trade a 1st and 2nd round pick for Carson Palmer weeks after…
-
Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns 2014 Off-Season Report
2013 Recap The Browns have been the picture of turmoil since returning to the NFL in the 1999 season. In that time period, they’ve had 7 different head coaches, 5 different general managers, 3 different principal owners, 20 different starting quarterbacks, and 0 playoff wins. They are about to get…
-
Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks: 2013 NFC Championship Pick
San Francisco 49ers (14-4) at Seattle Seahawks (14-3) I almost never go against the Seahawks at home and with good reason. Since 2007, the Seahawks are 39-19 ATS at home, including 23-11 ATS as home favorites. They have been especially good over the past two years, as they’ve broken out…
-
Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Denver Broncos: 2013 AFC Championship Pick
New England Patriots (13-4) at Denver Broncos (14-3) One of the keys to successful handicapping of NFL games is to figure out which situations certain teams tend to do well in. This is easier when the team has had the same quarterback and/or head coach for a long time. Well…
-
Continue reading →: 2013 Divisional Round Pick Results
Wild Card Straight Up: 3-1 Against the Spread: 1-2-1 Pick of the Week: 0-0 High Confidence: 0-1 Medium Confidence: 0-0 Low Confidence: 0-0-1 No Confidence: 1-1 Upset Picks: 0-1 2013 Straight Up: 177-86-1 (.673) Against the Spread: 147-108-9 (.576) Pick of the Week: 10-6-1 High Confidence: 24-9-1 Medium Confidence: 32-26…
-
Continue reading →: Rate of Moving the Chains – Conference Championship
What is this? This is rate of moving the chains, which is my primary statistic for handicapping games. It holds the assumption that the goal of any team on any given 1st and 10 (or 1st and goal) is to move the chains (or score). In order to figure out…
-
Subscribe
Subscribed
Have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
