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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars 2014 Off-season Report
2013 Recap When the Jaguars started 0-8 with all 8 losses coming by double digits, it looked like they were on their way to all-time bad status and maybe a 0-16 season. They didn’t finish quite that bad, as they went 4-4 after the bye to finish 4-12, but I…
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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos: 2013 AFC Divisional Round Pick
San Diego Chargers (10-7) at Denver Broncos (13-3) This is one I’m completely torn on. On one hand, the Chargers are in the better spot. The Broncos could be overconfident because they’re at home coming off of a bye. Teams are 14-22 ATS since 2003 as home favorites after a…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots: 2013 AFC Divisional Round Pick
Indianapolis Colts (12-5) at New England Patriots (12-4) The Patriots won 12 games and locked up a first round bye again. They now have a streak of 13 consecutive winning seasons. No one else has an active streak longer than 4. Over the past 13 seasons, they have 12 seasons…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks: 2013 NFC Divisional Round Pick
New Orleans Saints (12-5) at Seattle Seahawks (13-3) Everyone knows about the Seahawks’ home dominance and the Saints’ road struggles. Since 2007, the Seahawks are 39-18 ATS at home, including 23-10 ATS as home favorites, and 12-4 ATS as home favorites of 7 or more. They have been especially good…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Carolina Panthers: 2013 NFC Divisional Round Pick
San Francisco 49ers (13-4) at Carolina Panthers (12-4) The Panthers won in San Francisco earlier this season, helping propel them to a 12-4 record, the #2 seed, and home field advantage in the NFC divisional round. In spite of all that, they are 1 point home underdogs here. Ordinarily, I’d…
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Continue reading →: Rate of Moving the Chains – Divisional Round
What is this? This is rate of moving the chains, which is my primary statistic for handicapping games. It holds the assumption that the goal of any team on any given 1st and 10 (or 1st and goal) is to move the chains (or score). In order to figure out…
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Continue reading →: 2013 NFL Wild Card Pick Results
Wild Card Straight Up: 1-3 Against the Spread: 0-3-1 Pick of the Week: 0-0 High Confidence: 0-0-1 Medium Confidence: 0-1 Low Confidence: 0-1 No Confidence: 0-1 Upset Picks: 0-1 2013 Straight Up: 174-85-1 (.672) Against the Spread: 146-106-8 (.579) Pick of the Week: 10-6-1 High Confidence: 24-8-1 Medium Confidence: 32-26…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins 2014 Off-Season Report
2013 Recap The Redskins have started each of the last two seasons 3-6. However, those two seasons have had literally polar opposite endings. In 2012, the Redskins won their last 7 games, finishing 10-6 and winning the NFC East. In 2013, the Redskins lost their last 7 games, finishing 3-13…
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Continue reading →: 2013 NFL MVP Pick: Peyton Manning
I’ve saved the most obvious one for last. Anyone who doesn’t vote for Peyton Manning this year is doing it to be edgy, because he personally hates Peyton Manning, because he doesn’t like the word unanimous, because he’s an asshole, or probably some mix of the four. The only two…
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Continue reading →: 2013 NFL Defensive Player of the Year Pick: JJ Watt
Defensive Player of the Year more often than not goes to the best defensive player on one of the best defenses in the NFL. I have a very strong feeling this award will go to media darling Luke Kuechly, the consensus top player on a Carolina defense that allowed the…
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