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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Carolina Panthers: 2013 NFC Divisional Round Pick
San Francisco 49ers (13-4) at Carolina Panthers (12-4) The Panthers won in San Francisco earlier this season, helping propel them to a 12-4 record, the #2 seed, and home field advantage in the NFC divisional round. In spite of all that, they are 1 point home underdogs here. Ordinarily, I’d…
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Continue reading →: Rate of Moving the Chains – Divisional Round
What is this? This is rate of moving the chains, which is my primary statistic for handicapping games. It holds the assumption that the goal of any team on any given 1st and 10 (or 1st and goal) is to move the chains (or score). In order to figure out…
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Continue reading →: 2013 NFL Wild Card Pick Results
Wild Card Straight Up: 1-3 Against the Spread: 0-3-1 Pick of the Week: 0-0 High Confidence: 0-0-1 Medium Confidence: 0-1 Low Confidence: 0-1 No Confidence: 0-1 Upset Picks: 0-1 2013 Straight Up: 174-85-1 (.672) Against the Spread: 146-106-8 (.579) Pick of the Week: 10-6-1 High Confidence: 24-8-1 Medium Confidence: 32-26…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins 2014 Off-Season Report
2013 Recap The Redskins have started each of the last two seasons 3-6. However, those two seasons have had literally polar opposite endings. In 2012, the Redskins won their last 7 games, finishing 10-6 and winning the NFC East. In 2013, the Redskins lost their last 7 games, finishing 3-13…
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Continue reading →: 2013 NFL MVP Pick: Peyton Manning
I’ve saved the most obvious one for last. Anyone who doesn’t vote for Peyton Manning this year is doing it to be edgy, because he personally hates Peyton Manning, because he doesn’t like the word unanimous, because he’s an asshole, or probably some mix of the four. The only two…
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Continue reading →: 2013 NFL Defensive Player of the Year Pick: JJ Watt
Defensive Player of the Year more often than not goes to the best defensive player on one of the best defenses in the NFL. I have a very strong feeling this award will go to media darling Luke Kuechly, the consensus top player on a Carolina defense that allowed the…
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Continue reading →: 2013 Defensive Rookie of the Year Pick: Sheldon Richardson
In my Offensive Rookie of the Year write up, I talked about how hard it is to compare players across positions, which led to a trio of wide receiver Keenan Allen, running back Eddie Lacy, and guard Larry Warford that was hard to choose from. The same is true on…
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Continue reading →: 2013 Offensive Rookie of the Year Pick: Larry Warford
The way I see it, there are 4 strong candidates for Offensive Rookie of the Year. It’s hard to pick between them because they all played very well at their respective positions and it’s tough to compare players across position. I’m going to narrow the field down by eliminating one…
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Continue reading →: 2013 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Pick: Jason Peters
We don’t have nearly the Comeback Player of the Year field that we had a year ago. If anyone this year did what Adrian Peterson, Peyton Manning, or Jamaal Charles did in 2012, they would have won this year’s award by runaway. Instead, we have only maximum three real candidates…
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Continue reading →: 2013 NFL Coach of the Year Pick: Bill Belichick
What Andy Reid has done in Kansas City this season is impressive, but it’s overshadowed by what Bill Belichick has done in New England. At the beginning of the season, I did a list of the top-200 NFL players. New England had 11, tied with Seattle and San Francisco for…
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