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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Rams: 2022 Week 16 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (4-10) at Los Angeles Rams (4-10) A week ago on the early line, the Rams were favored by 1 point at home in this matchup against the Denver Broncos, but this line has since switched to favor the Broncos by a field goal, a significant swing, given that…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Arizona Cardinals: 2022 Week 16 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-8) at Arizona Cardinals (4-10) The Cardinals were at the top of my overrated teams list coming into the season. They went 11-6 last season, but needed a +12 turnover margin to get to that record, which is not predictive, and they ranked just 14th in overall…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Miami Dolphins: 2022 Week 16 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (6-8) at Miami Dolphins (8-6) The Packers are 3.5-point underdogs this week, which might seem low, but 1 in 4 games are decided by three points or fewer, with 1 in 6 games being decided by exactly a field goal, so 3.5 is a higher line that…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Kansas City Chiefs: 2022 Week 16 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (7-7) at Kansas City Chiefs (11-3) The Seahawks are 10-point underdogs in this game, which might seem like a lot considering they have a decent 7-7 record, but their offense has been their strength all season and they haven’t played as well in recent weeks, with quarterback Geno…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Cleveland Browns: 2022 Week 16 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (5-9) at Cleveland Browns (6-8) The Saints have been among the most injury plagued teams in the league this season. They seemed to be getting healthier, with feature back Alvin Kamara (2 games missed), starting wide receivers Jarvis Landry (5 games missed) and Chris Olave (1 game…
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Continue reading →: Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers: 2022 Week 16 NFL Pick
Washington Commanders (7-6-1) at San Francisco 49ers (10-4) The 49ers began this season just 3-4, but they had a lot of injury problems early in the season and, once they got healthy and acquired feature back Christian McCaffrey in a trade, the 49ers looked like one of the best teams…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Baltimore Ravens: 2022 Week 16 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (5-9) at Baltimore Ravens (9-5) The Falcons are 5-9, but they’ve been impressive on offense this season, ranking 7th in schedule adjusted efficiency, with their defense being their big problem, ranking 29th in schedule adjusted efficiency. Offensive performance tends to be significantly more consistent week-to-week than defensive performance,…
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Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2022 Week 16 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (6-8) at Pittsburgh Steelers (6-8) Both of these teams got off to slow starts to the season, with the Raiders starting 2-7 and the Steelers starting 2-6, but both teams have had more success in the win/loss column in recent weeks, pushing both teams up to a…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears: 2022 Week 16 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (11-3) at Chicago Bears (3-11) The Bills haven’t been quite as dominant this season as they were last season, when all of their wins came by at least 12 points, leading to a +194 point differential that led the league. However, they have played better in one-score games,…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers: 2022 Week 16 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (7-7) at Carolina Panthers (5-9) The Lions started the season 1-6, but have since won six of the past seven games to get back to .500, putting themselves very much in the mix for a playoff spot. In some ways, their improvement was predictable. Four of their first…
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