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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Denver Broncos: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (4-9) at Denver Broncos (3-10) The Cardinals lost starting quarterback Kyler Murray for the season with a torn ACL last week, but they were one of the worst teams in the league even before losing him, now sitting at 4-9 with a -71 point differential and a schedule…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Los Angeles Chargers: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (7-6) at Los Angeles Chargers (7-6) Both of these teams are 7-6, but neither has played as well as their record suggests, with the Titans seven wins coming by an average of 6.6 points per game and the Chargers’ coming by 4.3 points per game, as opposed to…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at New York Jets: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (6-7) at New York Jets (7-6) A week ago on the early line, the Jets were favored by a field goal at home against the Lions, but this line has since shifted to favoring the Lions by 1.5 points. Normally I like to go against significant week-to-week line…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (10-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (5-8) The Jaguars are in a good spot in this game, with the Cowboys likely to get caught looking forward to a much bigger game against the Eagles next week, but this line only favors the Cowboys by four points, so we’re not getting…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (5-8) at New Orleans Saints (4-9) The Falcons have overachieved through the first 13 games of the season, especially on offense, where they rank 9th in schedule adjusted efficiency, but they are switching quarterbacks from capable veteran Marcus Mariota to unproven rookie Desmond Ritter, to evaluate the young…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Las Vegas Raiders: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (7-6) at Las Vegas Raiders (5-8) This is one of the toughest games of the week to predict. Both teams have several key offensive playmakers who are questionable, talented pass catchers Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow for the Raiders and top running backs Rhomandre Stevenson and Damien…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (10-3) at Houston Texans (1-11-1) This line is high, favoring the Chiefs on the road by 14, but the Chiefs are arguably the best team in the league, while the Texans are arguably the worst team in the league and I don’t think this line is quite…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (4-9) at Green Bay Packers (5-8) The Packers are a disappointing 5-8, a year after finishing 13-4, but in some ways it’s not that surprising. Despite their record last season, the Packers finished just 10th in point differential and 11th in overall efficiency, even with an MVP…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (9-4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-7) Historically, this would be a spot where a Tom Brady led team would be an automatic bet, as he 46-13 ATS all-time against a team with a better record than this, 60-32 ATS all-time as an underdog or favorite of less than…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (12-1) at Chicago Bears (3-10) The Eagles lead the league with a +14 turnover margin, which is not a predictive stat week-to-week. That would normally make them overrated, but they also rank 3rd in schedule adjusted efficiency, which is predictive, and they have the best team in my…
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