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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Arizona Cardinals: 2022 Week 14 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (6-6) at Arizona Cardinals (4-8) The Cardinals were at the top of my overrated teams list coming into the season. They went 11-6 last season, but needed a +12 turnover margin to get to that record, which is not predictive, and they ranked just 14th in overall…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions: 2022 Week 14 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (10-2) at Detroit Lions (5-7) The Vikings have not played nearly as good as their 10-2 record, going an unsustainable 9-0 in one score games, managing just a +10 point differential, and ranking just 18th in schedule adjusted efficiency. However, the public seems to understand that their record…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2022 Week 14 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (8-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-7) A week ago on the early line, the Ravens were favored by four points, but this line has since shifted all the way to Pittsburgh -2. The reason for that line movement is understandable, as the Ravens will be without franchise quarterback Lamar…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks: 2022 Week 14 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (4-8) at Seattle Seahawks (7-5) A week ago on the early line, the Seahawks were 6.5-point favorites, but this line has since shrunk all the way down to 3.5. The Seahawks won last week, albeit in relatively uninspiring fashion against a bad Rams team, but it was still…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers: 2022 Week 14 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-6) at San Francisco 49ers (8-4) The 49ers lost quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo for the season last week and are now starting 7th round rookie Brock Purdy, set to make the first start of his career this week, but, despite that, this line has only dropped from favoring…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans: 2022 Week 14 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-8) at Tennessee Titans (7-5) The Titans are 7-5, but their wins haven’t been that impressive. Their only win against a team that is .500 or better right now came against the Commanders, who are 7-5-1 now, but were just 1-4 when they were starting Carson Wentz against…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants: 2022 Week 14 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (11-1) at New York Giants (7-4-1) The Giants are 7-4-1, but that is a misleading record, as all seven wins have come by one score, with just two coming against teams that are currently better than 5-8. Meanwhile, all four of their losses have come by 7 points…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Chargers: 2022 Week 14 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (8-4) at Los Angeles Chargers (6-6) The Chargers are 6-6, but their six wins have all been close and have come by a combined 24 points, while their six losses have come by a combined 61 points, leading to a point differential of -37 that ranks just 24th…
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Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Rams: 2022 Week 14 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (5-7) at Los Angeles Rams (3-9) The Raiders have won three straight after a 2-7 start, but that’s not as big of a shift as you might think, as six of their seven losses came up one score, while their three recent wins have also been one…
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Continue reading →: 2022 Week 13 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week BAL -9.5 vs. DEN High Confidence Picks PHI -4.5 vs. TEN Medium Confidence Picks SEA -7 @ LAR LV -1 vs. LAC NO +3.5 @ TB Low Confidence Picks MIA +4 @ SF BUF -3.5 @ NE MIN -3 vs. NYJ CLE -7 @ HOU KC…
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