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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans: 2022 Week 16 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (1-12-1) at Tennessee Titans (7-7) The Titans started the season 7-3, but have since fallen back to earth with four straight losses, leaving them in a battle for a playoff spot, even in the weakest division in the AFC. That’s not all that surprising though, as the Titans’…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings: 2022 Week 16 NFL Pick
New York Giants (8-5-1) at Minnesota Vikings (11-3) Both of these teams have impressive records, but both teams have needed to have a lot of success in close games to get to these records, which tends not to be sustainable long-term, as victories by larger margins are more predictive of…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at New England Patriots: 2022 Week 16 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (10-4) at New England Patriots (7-7) This is one of the tougher calls of the week from an against the spread perspective. My calculated line is Cincinnati -3, which is right where this line is, and, given that games are decided by three significantly more often than any…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys: 2022 Week 16 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (13-1) at Dallas Cowboys (10-4) The Eagles have lost quarterback and likely MVP favorite Jalen Hurts for this game with injury, but all hope is not lost in this critical divisional battle in Dallas, for several reasons. For one, the Eagles are far more than just Jalen Hurts.…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Jets: 2022 Week 16 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (6-8) at New York Jets (7-7) The Jaguars pulled off a huge comeback upset win over the Cowboys in overtime last week, but that loss might have come with a price, as now the Jaguars have to play on a short week after that overtime game, which has…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (5-8) at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-8) A week ago on the early line, the Panthers were 3-point home underdogs, but now they are 3-point favorites. Normally I like to go against significant week-to-week line movements like that and this is not an exception. This line moved because the Panthers…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Denver Broncos: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (4-9) at Denver Broncos (3-10) The Cardinals lost starting quarterback Kyler Murray for the season with a torn ACL last week, but they were one of the worst teams in the league even before losing him, now sitting at 4-9 with a -71 point differential and a schedule…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Los Angeles Chargers: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (7-6) at Los Angeles Chargers (7-6) Both of these teams are 7-6, but neither has played as well as their record suggests, with the Titans seven wins coming by an average of 6.6 points per game and the Chargers’ coming by 4.3 points per game, as opposed to…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at New York Jets: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (6-7) at New York Jets (7-6) A week ago on the early line, the Jets were favored by a field goal at home against the Lions, but this line has since shifted to favoring the Lions by 1.5 points. Normally I like to go against significant week-to-week line…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (10-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (5-8) The Jaguars are in a good spot in this game, with the Cowboys likely to get caught looking forward to a much bigger game against the Eagles next week, but this line only favors the Cowboys by four points, so we’re not getting…
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