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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals: 2021 Week 18 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (6-10) at Arizona Cardinals (11-5) The Cardinals pulled the upset in Dallas last week to keep their chances at winning the division alive, but there is still reason to be concerned about this team long-term. They started the season 7-0, but they benefited significantly from a +8 turnover…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons: 2021 Week 18 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (8-8) at Atlanta Falcons (7-9) The Falcons don’t have a terrible record at 7-9, but all of their wins have come by one score or fewer against teams with a record of .500 or worse, while their losses have come by an average of 18.78 points per…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2021 Week 18 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (5-11) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (12-4) This line, favoring the Buccaneers only by 8.5 points at home over the Panthers, suggests that the odds makers aren’t sure if the Buccaneers will play their starters for this whole game, but I think it’s likely that they do, given that…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Buffalo Bills: 2021 Week 18 NFL Pick
New York Jets (4-12) at Buffalo Bills (10-6) The Bills have beaten up on bad teams this season, en route to ranking first in schedule adjusted mixed efficiency and point differential (+177), going 8-1 against teams who are .500 or worse, with their one loss coming by three points and…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins: 2021 Week 18 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (10-6) at Miami Dolphins (8-8) The Dolphins won seven straight games, but that came to a crashing halt last week when they were blown out by a final score of 34-3 in Tennessee. Their losing streak was always the result of an easy schedule, as their only…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens: 2021 Week 18 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (8-7-1) at Baltimore Ravens (8-8) The Ravens have lost five straight games, including the last four without starting quarterback Lamar Jackson, but it hasn’t been as bad as that sounds, as their only loss over that stretch by more than two points came in a game started by…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals: 2021 Week 18 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (10-6) at Cleveland Browns (7-9) This could have been an exciting divisional matchup between two young quarterbacks Baker Mayfield and Joe Burrow, but the Bengals pulled the upset on the Chiefs last week, clinching the division and eliminating the Browns from playoff contention even before the Browns’ eventual…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions: 2021 Week 18 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (13-3) at Detroit Lions (2-13-1) The Packers have nothing to play for this week, having clinched the #1 seed in the NFC last week, and this spread expects them to play their key starters very little, as the Packers would not be mere 3.5-point favorites in Detroit…
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Continue reading →: Washington Football Team at New York Giants: 2021 Week 18 NFL Pick
Washington Football Team (6-10) at New York Giants (4-12) Giants fans thought things were bad with Daniel Jones, but he proved to be the one thing keeping this team somewhat competitive, as the Giants have not been competitive in any of the five straight games they have lost since he…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings: 2021 Week 18 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (6-10) at Minnesota Vikings (7-9) The Vikings’ suffered their first loss of the season by more than eight points last week and it came on the road in Green Bay in a game in which backup quarterback Sean Mannion started. However, the Vikings have also only won once…