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Continue reading →: 2012 NFL Draft Redo
1. Indianapolis Colts – QB Andrew Luck (Stanford) This is a no brainer. This draft class has produced several dominant players, including quarterback Russell Wilson, but the Colts wouldn’t hesitate for a second drafting Luck again. Luck hasn’t led them to the Super Bowl yet, but that’s largely as a…
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Continue reading →: 2011 NFL Draft Redo
1. Carolina Panthers – QB Cam Newton (Auburn) The 2011 NFL Draft was one of the most talented in recent memory, but I don’t think there’s any question that the Panthers would make the same choice again if they had to do it all over again. Cam Newton won the…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots: Super Bowl LI Pick
Atlanta Falcons (13-5) vs. New England Patriots (16-2) in Super Bowl LI There are distinct differences between these two teams, but they have one impressive similarity: both teams have lost key players and played as well or better without them. On New England’s side, one of their losses was a…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots: 2016 AFC Championship Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (13-5) at New England Patriots (15-2) Like the Packers in the NFC, the Steelers enter this game on a long winning streak, winning 9 straight games to go from 4-5 to 11-5, the 3rd seed in the AFC, 2 playoff wins, and an AFC Championship appearance. However, the…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons: 2016 NFC Championship Pick
Green Bay Packers (12-6) at Atlanta Falcons (12-5) Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are red hot right now and understandably getting a lot of attention. Since an unimpressive 4-6 start, the Packers have won 8 straight games to make the playoffs with a 10-6 record and to win two playoff…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs: 2016 AFC Divisional Round Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-5) at Kansas City Chiefs (12-4) The Chiefs have been on my overrated list for a while. Despite their 12-4 record, they rank dead last among remaining the 8 remaining playoff teams in first down rate differential. Their record is largely the result of 6 wins by 8…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys: 2016 NFC Divisional Round Pick
Green Bay Packers (11-6) at Dallas Cowboys (13-3) This is another game I’ve gone back and forth on all week. On one hand, the Packers are hot right now and the Cowboys haven’t had much homefield advantage in recent years. Since 2010, they are 31-24 ATS on the road, as…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at New England Patriots: 2016 AFC Divisional Round Pick
Houston Texans (10-7) at New England Patriots (14-2) The Patriots are 16 point favorites here in this matchup with the Houston Texans, the first time a team has been favored by that many points in the playoffs since the 1998 Minnesota Vikings blew out the Arizona Cardinals 41-21 as 16…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons: 2016 NFC Divisional Round Pick
Seattle Seahawks (11-5-1) at Atlanta Falcons (11-5) This might sound weird considering they finished with the 2nd best record in the NFC and secured a first round bye, but I think the Falcons are an underrated team. In a year with so few top level teams, I don’t understand why…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Green Bay Packers: 2016 NFL Wild Card Round Pick
New York Giants (11-5) at Green Bay Packers (10-6) I always talk about the inconsistency of turnover margins and why using past turnover margins as evidence for predictions of future turnover margins is basically useless. On average, a team that wins the turnover battle by 4 in a game has…
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