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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks: 2014 NFC Championship Pick
Green Bay Packers (13-4) at Seattle Seahawks (13-4) The Packers beat the Cowboys last week, beating a team that was 8-0 on the road previously and improving to 9-0 at home themselves. However, because they are 9-0 at home, that also means they are just 4-4 on the road this…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars 2015 NFL Off-Season Preview
Needs Defensive End The Chris Clemons signing didn’t really work out for the Jaguars. Clemons was dominant in Seattle when Jaguars head coach Gus Bradley was the defensive coordinator, but he’s over the hill. He was Pro Football Focus’ 2nd worst ranked 4-3 defensive end last season and isn’t going…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans 2015 NFL Off-Season Preview
Needs Quarterback Arguably the most intriguing spot in the first round of the draft is #2 where the Titans are picking. Ken Whisenhunt drafted Zach Mettenberger in the 6th round last year and he showed some promise as a rookie, completing 59.8% of his passes for an average of 7.89…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers: 2014 Divisional Round NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (13-4) at Green Bay Packers (12-4) This is the first time in NFL history that an 8-0 home team has met an 8-0 road team in the playoffs and both teams are in the location where they’ve had the most success this season, the Packers in Lambeau and…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos: 2014 Divisional Round NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (12-5) at Denver Broncos (12-4) Last week was an overall successful weekend. I hit 3 out of 4 plays, including both of my big plays (Baltimore +3 and Carolina -6). The one I missed was the Indianapolis/Cincinnati game, as I made a low confidence pick on Cincinnati. I…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots: 2014 Divisional Round NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (11-6) at New England Patriots (12-4) I was ready to make a big play on the Patriots this week. They haven’t looked good in a while. With most teams, that’s a concern, but that’s never been a concern with the Patriots in the Brady/Belichick era. In fact, short…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks: 2014 Divisional Round NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (8-8-1) at Seattle Seahawks (12-4) I had the Panthers as the 2nd hottest team coming into the playoffs. They won their final 4 straight games just to make the playoffs and, in their final 5 games, they moved the chains at a 77.38% rate, as opposed to 61.98% for…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2015 NFL Off-Season Preview
Needs Quarterback Josh McCown struggled mightily in 11 starts for the Buccaneers this season, completing 56.3% of his passes for an average of 6.75 YPA, 11 touchdowns, and 14 interceptions, winning just once. He’s obviously not a long-term solution, going into his age 36 season and might not even be…
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Continue reading →: 2014 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Pick: Khalil Mack
Odell Beckham Jr. had a season for the ages on the offensive side of the football this year and looks like an easy choice for Offensive Rookie of the Year, but two defensive rookies had rookie years that were equally as dominant. Oakland’s Khalil Mack and St. Louis’ Aaron Donald…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts: 2014 Wild Card Round NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (10-5-1) at Indianapolis Colts (11-5) In addition to adjusting playoff teams’ rate of moving the chains differentials for strength of schedule, another thing I did differently this week was breaking out schedule adjusted differential into a team’s last 4 games and into a team’s last 8 weeks instead…
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