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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams 2023 NFL Season Preview
Quarterback The Rams won the Super Bowl in the 2021 season, after finishing the regular season with a 12-5 record and the 5th highest DVOA in the league, but repeating was always going to be difficult for them. Not only are repeat champions rare, with none in the last two…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions 2023 NFL Season Preview
Quarterback After four straight years of missing the playoffs and with quarterback Matt Stafford demanding a trade, the Lions started what looked like it would be a long rebuild in the 2021 off-season. Even the Lions themselves seemed to be admitting it would be a long rebuild. They turned down…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings 2023 NFL Season Preview
Quarterback The Vikings finished last season 13-4, but needed to go 11-0 in one score games to do so and finished with a -3 point differential, the first time in NFL history that a team with as high of a winning percentage as the Vikings had a negative point differential…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers 2023 NFL Season Preview
Quarterback For decades, no one has had more continuity at the quarterback position than the Packers who, outside of a few spot starts by quarterbacks filling in for an absent starter, have had just two quarterbacks since Brett Favre’s first season with the team in 1992. Favre went on to…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears 2023 NFL Season Preview
Quarterback Expectations were very low for the Bears last season, starting a rebuild that left them with by far the lowest combined average annual salary of any roster in the league, parting ways with numerous high-paid veterans last off-season, following mediocre finishes in 2019 (8-8), 2020 (8-8), and 2021 (6-11).…
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Continue reading →: 2018 NFL Draft Redo
1. Cleveland Browns – QB Josh Allen (Wyoming) The Browns have their choice of two franchise quarterback prospects with this #1 overall pick, neither of whom is the quarterback they drafted here, Baker Mayfield. Josh Allen vs. Lamar Jackson is an interesting debate because Jackson has the best individual season…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs: Super Bowl LVII Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (16-3) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (16-3) in Super Bowl LVII The Chiefs have the slight edge in weighted DVOA over the Eagles entering this game (34.4% vs. 28.9%), but the Chiefs were also the healthier team for most of this team, averaging a SIC score that was about…
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Continue reading →: 2022 NFL Conference Championship Picks
San Francisco 49ers (15-4) at Philadelphia Eagles (15-3) The 49ers are underdogs in this game by 2.5 points, but they are the significantly better team in terms of weighted DVOA (+43.9% vs. +26.3%). The Eagles had key injury absences down the stretch that led to their slow finish and they…
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Continue reading →: 2022 NFL Divisional Round Picks
Dallas Cowboys (13-5) at San Francisco 49ers (14-4) The Cowboys had a 12-5 regular season and won easily in the first round against the Buccaneers. However, the 49ers are a completely different level of competition, as they lead the league with a 38.6% weighted DVOA. Improved health has been a…
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Continue reading →: 2022 NFL Wild Card Round Picks
New York Giants (9-7-1) at Minnesota Vikings (13-4) The Vikings have the better record of these two teams, but the Giants have the significant edge in weighted DVOA (+0.5% vs. -18.6%), despite the fact that they have had significantly more injury problems this season than the Vikings. The Giants are…
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