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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars re-sign DT Sen’Derrick Marks
Jacksonville Jaguars re-sign DT Sen’Derrick Marks Sen’Derrick Marks has had a solid season this year. New Jaguars head coach Gus Bradley seems to have coached up the former 2nd round pick, much like he did with many players when he was the defensive coordinator in Seattle. Marks excelled as a…
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Continue reading →: 2013 Week 17 NFL Pick Results
Week 17 Straight Up: 12-4 Against the Spread: 7-9 Pick of the Week: 1-0 High Confidence: 2-0 Medium Confidence: 1-2 Low Confidence: 1-2 No Confidence: 2-5 Upset Picks: 0-3 2013 Straight Up: 173-82-1 (.678) Against the Spread: 146-103-7 (.586) Pick of the Week: 10-6-1 High Confidence: 24-8 Medium Confidence: 32-25…
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Continue reading →: Rate of Moving the Chains – Wild Card Round
What is this? This is rate of moving the chains, which is my primary statistic for handicapping games. It holds the assumption that the goal of any team on any given 1st and 10 (or 1st and goal) is to move the chains (or score). In order to figure out…
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Continue reading →: 2013 NFL Prop Bets
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs +250 I didn’t really see any value with over 7.5 (-175) on the Chiefs, but I thought it was a little strange their odds to make the playoffs were this high. The odds makers seen fairly certain they’ll win 7 and probably 8…
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Continue reading →: 2014 Pro-Bowl Thoughts
Quarterback: Tom Brady, Patriots; Drew Brees, Saints; Peyton Manning, Broncos; Cam Newton, Panthers; Philip Rivers, Chargers; Russell Wilson, Seahawks Brady, Brees, Manning, Rivers, and Wilson will get no arguments from me. I voted for all 5 of them. I had Nick Foles over Cam Newton. I like Cam Newton. I thought the criticism he took early in his career was baseless,…
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Continue reading →: 2013 Pro Bowl Picks
QB: Peyton Manning (Denver), Philip Rivers (San Diego), Drew Brees (New Orleans), Russell Wilson (Seattle), Tom Brady (New England), Nick Foles (Philadelphia) RB: LeSean McCoy (Philadelphia), Jamaal Charles (Kansas City), Marshawn Lynch (Seattle), Adrian Peterson (Minnesota), Eddie Lacy (Green Bay), DeMarco Murray (Dallas) WR: Calvin Johnson (Detroit), Andre Johnson (Houston),…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders: 2013 Week 17 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (12-3) at Oakland Raiders (4-11) I really don’t have a good feel for this game. We’re not getting any real line value either way, as this line is exactly where it should be. The Broncos are moving the chains at a ridiculous 80.75% rate, as opposed to 71.94%…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys: 2013 Week 17 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (9-6) at Dallas Cowboys (8-7) I was kicking myself when I saw this line opened at Philadelphia -3. It was at Dallas -3 a week ago and there was no reason not to take that, even before Philadelphia demolished Chicago last week. For one, Philadelphia is obviously a…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears: 2013 Week 17 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (7-7-1) at Chicago Bears (8-7) Aaron Rodgers is back! The Packers are saved! Right? Well that seems to be what everyone is thinking. The public pulse is that the Packers are now de facto NFC North Champions now that Mike McCarthy has said the words “Aaron Rodgers…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts: 2013 Week 17 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-11) at Indianapolis Colts (10-5) If you look at the season as a whole, the Jaguars are the worst team in the NFL. Their -182 point differential is worst in the NFL. Only Houston at -146 even comes close. Their 4-11 record is actually buoyed by a 4-2…
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