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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills: 2013 Week 16 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (8-6) at Buffalo Bills (5-9) Believe or not, the Bills have actually been very good at home. It doesn’t show in their home record (3-4), but they are 5-2 ATS at home, 5-1 ATS if you ignore what was essentially a neutral site game in Toronto and 5-1…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers: 2013 Week 16 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (4-10) at San Francisco 49ers (10-4) Colin Kaepernick has had his fair share of issues this season, but against teams that currently have a .500 or worse record this season, Colin Kaepernick has completed 97 of 156 (62.2%) for 1356 yards (8.69 YPA), 10 touchdowns, and no interceptions,…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Detroit Lions: 2013 Week 16 NFL Pick
New York Giants (5-9) at Detroit Lions (7-7) In case you’ve been living under a rock for the past week, the Lions have a turnover problem. Despite their 7-7 record, the Lions have a turnover margin of -13, which is 4th worst in the NFL and their 31 turnovers are…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks: 2013 Week 16 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (9-5) at Seattle Seahawks (12-2) Seattle at home is pretty much an auto-bet. They’ve been incredible at home over the past few years. Since 2007, they are 38-17 ATS at home, including 22-9 ATS as home favorites, and 11-3 ATS as home favorites of 7 or more. They…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2013 Week 16 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (5-9) at Jacksonville Jaguars (4-10) One of the most powerful trends in betting is known as the six and six trend, meaning teams who finish with 6 wins or fewer are 25-69 ATS as favorites of 6 or more since 2002. There are two issues with this trend.…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers: 2013 Week 16 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (10-4) at Carolina Panthers (10-4) The Saints lost last week in St. Louis in upset blowout fashion. However, they are in a good spot here in their 2nd straight road game. Historically, teams lose by an average of 3.07 points per game on the road after a…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Cincinnati Bengals: 2013 Week 16 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (4-9-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (9-5) The Bengals lost last week pretty convincingly in Pittsburgh in a surprise loss that really shouldn’t have been much of a surprise to anyone. The Bengals just aren’t the same team on the road. They’ve already lost pretty convincingly on the road to…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens: 2013 Week 16 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (10-4) at Baltimore Ravens (8-6) The two spots the Tom Brady led Patriots are most dangerous in are both in play this week. The Tom Brady led Patriots dominate off of a loss and they dominate when not favored by 3 or more. In his career, Tom…
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Continue reading →: 2013 Week 16 Fantasy Football Pickups
QB Kirk Cousins (Washington) Percent owned (ESPN): 3.0% Kirk Cousins wasn’t perfect or anything, but he put up big fantasy numbers against Atlanta’s defense in his first start, throwing for 381 yards and 3 touchdowns, to go with 2 interceptions. Atlanta’s defense didn’t represent much of a challenge, but neither…
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Continue reading →: 2013 Week 15 NFL Pick Results
Week 15 Straight Up: 9-7 Against the Spread: 9-6-1 Pick of the Week: 0-0-1 High Confidence: 1-2 Medium Confidence: 1-0 Low Confidence: 5-4 No Confidence: 2-0 Upset Picks: 0-2 2013 Straight Up: 149-74-1 (.668) Against the Spread: 131-86-7 (.604) Pick of the Week: 8-6-1 High Confidence: 21-8 Medium Confidence: 29-19…
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