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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2013 Week 17 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (4-11) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-8) The situational trends say Cleveland is the right side here. For one, Cleveland is in their 2nd straight road game. Historically, teams lose by an average of 3.07 points per game on the road after a home game and 2.07 points per game…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons: 2013 Week 17 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (11-4) at Atlanta Falcons (4-11) This is an important game to the Panthers for seeding purposes. If they win and Seattle were to lose, they would become the #1 seed and have home field advantage all the way to the Super Bowl. However, if they were to lose…
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Continue reading →: 2013 Head Coaches Likely to be Fired
Likely to be fired Mike Munchak (Tennessee) Mike Munchak’s name has been on the hot seat for a while in Tennessee, with many believing he’d be fired last off-season. He was kept around, predictably as he had only finished his 2nd season with the team, but this time around he…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at New York Giants: 2013 Week 17 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (3-10) at New York Giants (6-9) The Giants went into Detroit and beat the Lions last week, while the Redskins lost at home to the Cowboys. Surely the Giants will win at home here against the Redskins and cover this small spread right? Well, that seems to be…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals: 2013 Week 17 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (11-4) at Arizona Cardinals (10-5) The Cardinals proved themselves last week to be a very good football team, going into Seattle, where no one has won in two years, and winning despite losing the turnover battle by 2. Teams rarely are able to overcome a -2 turnover…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Miami Dolphins: 2013 Week 17 NFL Pick
New York Jets (7-8) at Miami Dolphins (8-7) One powerful trend is that teams who lose as divisional home favorites are 48-23 ATS since 2002 as road dogs in the same season, regular season rematch. It makes sense. Matchups where the team who is favored is dependent on the location…
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Continue reading →: St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks: 2013 Week 17 NFL Pick
St. Louis Rams (7-8) at Seattle Seahawks (12-3) The Seahawks need this win to clinch the #1 seed and home field advantage through to the Super Bowl. The Seahawks lost at home last week, for the first time since week 16 of the 2011 and the first time in Russell…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints: 2013 Week 17 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-11) at New Orleans Saints (10-5) This game is very important to the Saints. If they lose here, they can be knocked out of the playoffs entirely if the Cardinals lose to the 49ers. Also, if the Panthers somehow lose earlier in the day, the Saints can…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals: 2013 Week 17 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (8-7) at Cincinnati Bengals (10-5) This game is very important for both teams. For Baltimore, a win and a loss by either San Diego or Miami puts them in the playoffs, but if they lose they need San Diego, Miami, and Pittsburgh to all lose. For Cincinnati, they…
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Continue reading →: Rate of Moving the Chains – Week 17
What is this? This is rate of moving the chains, which is my primary statistic for handicapping games. It holds the assumption that the goal of any team on any given 1st and 10 (or 1st and goal) is to move the chains (or score). In order to figure out…
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