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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (5-8) at New Orleans Saints (4-9) The Falcons have overachieved through the first 13 games of the season, especially on offense, where they rank 9th in schedule adjusted efficiency, but they are switching quarterbacks from capable veteran Marcus Mariota to unproven rookie Desmond Ritter, to evaluate the young…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Las Vegas Raiders: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (7-6) at Las Vegas Raiders (5-8) This is one of the toughest games of the week to predict. Both teams have several key offensive playmakers who are questionable, talented pass catchers Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow for the Raiders and top running backs Rhomandre Stevenson and Damien…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (10-3) at Houston Texans (1-11-1) This line is high, favoring the Chiefs on the road by 14, but the Chiefs are arguably the best team in the league, while the Texans are arguably the worst team in the league and I don’t think this line is quite…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (4-9) at Green Bay Packers (5-8) The Packers are a disappointing 5-8, a year after finishing 13-4, but in some ways it’s not that surprising. Despite their record last season, the Packers finished just 10th in point differential and 11th in overall efficiency, even with an MVP…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (9-4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-7) Historically, this would be a spot where a Tom Brady led team would be an automatic bet, as he 46-13 ATS all-time against a team with a better record than this, 60-32 ATS all-time as an underdog or favorite of less than…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (12-1) at Chicago Bears (3-10) The Eagles lead the league with a +14 turnover margin, which is not a predictive stat week-to-week. That would normally make them overrated, but they also rank 3rd in schedule adjusted efficiency, which is predictive, and they have the best team in my…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Washington Commanders: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
New York Giants (7-5-1) at Washington Commanders (7-5-1) These two teams have the same record, but the Commanders have a significantly better point differential. The Commanders’ -3 point differential is worse than you would expect given their record, but the Giants are even worse at -33, as their seven wins…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (9-4) at Cleveland Browns (5-8) Last week, the Ravens played their first full game without injured quarterback Lamar Jackson and I liked their chances to pull the small upset in Pittsburgh without Jackson, as the rest of this team was significantly healthier than earlier in the season, which…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (8-5) at Buffalo Bills (10-3) The Dolphins are only a couple games behind the Bills in the standings, but they have a +4 point differential and have won five of their six one-score games, while the Bills have a +132 point differential and have won three of their…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings: 2022 Week 15 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (4-8-1) at Minnesota Vikings (10-3) The Vikings are 10-3 and the Colts are 4-8-1, so it might come as a surprise that the Vikings are just 4-point home favorites in this game, but it makes sense. As good as the Vikings’ record is, they have had to go…
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