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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2022 Week 13 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (4-8) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6) The Saints are just 4-8, but they’ve played better than their record suggests, ranking 15th in schedule adjusted efficiency. Their biggest problem has been the turnover margin, with a league worst -14, but turnover margins tend to be highly inconsistent on…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals: 2022 Week 13 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) A week ago on the early line, the Chiefs were favored by a field goal in Cincinnati, but this line has since fallen down to two, a significant shift, given that one in six games are decided by three points exactly. That…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions: 2022 Week 13 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-7) at Detroit Lions (4-7) This is another one of my lowest confidence picks of the week. My calculated line has the Lions just slightly favored to win this game, but it also has the Jaguars covering this 1-point spread, which is how close this one is for…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Dallas Cowboys: 2022 Week 13 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (4-7-1) at Dallas Cowboys (8-3) This is one of my lowest confidence picks of the week. This line is at Dallas -10.5, which is right where my calculated line has it, favoring the Colts just slightly against the spread at this number, and there also aren’t any situational…
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Continue reading →: Washington Commanders at New York Giants: 2022 Week 13 NFL Pick
Washington Commanders (7-5) at New York Giants (7-4) This is one of the least interesting games to me from an against the spread perspective this week because this line, favoring the visiting Commanders by two points, is right about where it should be and there are no situational trends affecting…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Minnesota Vikings: 2022 Week 13 NFL Pick
New York Jets (7-4) at Minnesota Vikings (9-2) The Vikings are 9-2, but they have needed an 8-0 record in one score games to get there and they have just a +5 point differential. However, this seems to be well known, as they are only 3-point home favorites against the…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons: 2022 Week 13 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (4-7) at Atlanta Falcons (5-7) I think both of these teams are underrated, so I’m disappointed they’re playing each other, as there isn’t an obvious side to pick in this one. The Steelers are just 4-7, but they’ve arguably faced the toughest schedule in the league, with eight…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers: 2022 Week 13 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (8-3) at San Francisco 49ers (7-4) The Dolphins have a 8-3 record, among the best in the league, but they’re even better than that, as they’ve won all eight games started and finished by quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Despite that, they are 4-point underdogs this week in San Francisco.…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans: 2022 Week 13 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (4-7) at Houston Texans (1-9-1) Before the season, I thought the Browns had the potential to be the best team in the league with Deshaun Watson, adding an elite quarterback to one of the more talented rosters in the league, but I’m not sure if the latter is…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears: 2022 Week 13 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (4-8) at Chicago Bears (3-9) The Packers are 4-8, a year after going 13-4, but their drop off isn’t all that surprising. Despite their record last season, the Packers finished just 10th in point differential and 11th in overall efficiency, even with an MVP season from Aaron…
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