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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at San Francisco 49ers: 2013 Week 10 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (5-3) at San Francisco 49ers (6-2) Team X is one of these teams. Team X has an explosive offense led by a dual threat quarterback drafted in the 2011 NFL Draft that moves the chains at an 81% rate and scores 25.5 points per game. They have a…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans: 2013 Week 10 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (0-8) at Tennessee Titans (4-4) The Jaguars are not very good. That’s obvious. However, everyone covers at some point. There’s a time, place, and a line where you can take any team. I think this is it for the Jaguars, as 11.5 point underdogs. There’s actually some value…
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Continue reading →: 2013 Week 10 Fantasy Football Pickups
RB Mike James (Tampa Bay) Percent owned (ESPN): 10.6% Mike James’ busted out in his 2nd career start, rushing for 158 yards on 28 carries, with 2 catches for 8 yards and also a 2 yard touchdown pass. He won’t be that good every week (he had just 84 rushing…
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Continue reading →: 2013 Week 9 NFL Pick Results
SU: 7-6 ATS: 4-9 Pick of the Week: 0-1 High Confidence: 2-1 Medium Confidence: 0-3 Low Confidence: 2-2 No Confidence: 0-3 Upset Picks: 1-1 2013 SU: 90-43 ATS: 82-49-2 Pick of the Week: 5-4 High Confidence: 12-4 Medium Confidence: 20-13 Low Confidence: 20-10-1 No Confidence: 25-18-1 Upset Picks: 14-11
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans: 2013 Week 9 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (5-2) at Houston Texans (2-5) You could definitely still argue the Texans are underrated and are better than their record. They are moving the chains at a 75% rate, as opposed to 72% for their opponents. That differential is 12th in the NFL. They have been killed by…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Oakland Raiders: 2013 Week 9 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (3-5) at Oakland Raiders (3-4) The Raiders won a close home game against the Steelers as underdogs last week, winning 21-18, but they didn’t play that well last week. If it wasn’t for a breakdown on a fluke touchdown run by Terrelle Pryor (the longest in NFL history…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys: 2013 Week 9 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (1-6) at Dallas Cowboys (4-4) The Cowboys are in a bad spot this week in between a crushing loss in Detroit and a tough game in New Orleans. This home game against the Vikings is the definition of a trap game. Favorites of 7 or more are 37-71…
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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Washington Redskins: 2013 Week 9 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (4-3) at Washington Redskins (2-5) One of the most powerful trends in the NFL says that road favorites dominate off of a bye, going 45-18 ATS since 2002. It makes sense. Road favorites are significantly superior teams and significantly superior teams tend to use the extra week…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers: 2013 Week 9 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (4-3) at Green Bay Packers (5-3) The Packers have been so dominant at home over the past few seasons that they’re almost an automatic bet at home. They are 22-8 ATS at home since 2010. They are large favorites here at -11, but that’s not an issue. They…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers: 2013 Week 9 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (2-5) at Carolina Panthers (4-3) The Panthers are better than their record. They are a few plays away from 6-1 and have the 5th best point differential in the NFL, on the strength of the #2 scoring defense in the NFL. They are moving the chains at an 80%…
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