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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers: 2013 Week 10 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (4-5) at Green Bay Packers (5-3) Trends wise, the Eagles have the advantage here. The Packers will probably be non-divisional road favorites in New York last week and face the Giants and they are non-divisional home favorites this week. Teams are 61-85 ATS in that spot since 2002.…
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Continue reading →: St. Louis Rams at Indianapolis Colts: 2013 Week 10 NFL Pick
St. Louis Rams (3-6) at Indianapolis Colts (6-2) On paper, this line might be a little bit too high. The Colts are moving the chains at a 79% rate, as opposed to 75% for their opponents. Meanwhile, the Rams are moving the chains at a 72% rate, as opposed to…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons: 2013 Week 10 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (7-1) at Atlanta Falcons (2-6) I wish I had gotten this line when it was at Atlanta +6 or higher. Despite all of the action being on Seattle, the line is dropping significantly from +6.5 at some places to now +5 at some places. It’s obvious that this…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Arizona Cardinals: 2013 Week 10 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (2-6) at Arizona Cardinals (4-4) The Texans have lost each of the past two games, but the good news is that they might have found their quarterback of the future. Case Keenum has completed 35 of 59 for 621 yards and 4 touchdowns in 2 games. The Texans…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Minnesota Vikings: 2013 Week 10 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (3-5) at Minnesota Vikings (1-7) The Redskins won a crazy home game against the Chargers last week in overtime, but that game might really hurt them here this week. Teams are 3-16 ATS since 1989 on Thursday Night after an overtime game. It makes sense. Recovering from a…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens: 2013 Week 10 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (6-3) at Baltimore Ravens (3-5) The Ravens lost last week in Cleveland, but they return home this week, where they’ve been much better over the past few years. Since 2010, they are 25-4 straight up at home, with 2 losses to the Steelers, a loss to the 2013…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at New York Giants: 2013 Week 10 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (3-5) at New York Giants (2-6) One of the most powerful trends in betting is known as the six and six trend, meaning teams who finish with 6 wins or fewer are 25-69 ATS as favorites of 6 or more since 2002. There are two issues with this…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers: 2013 Week 10 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (7-1) at San Diego Chargers (4-4) Dominant teams usually play very well off of a bye. Since 2002, road favorites of 3.5 or more are 29-8 ATS since 2002, including 12-1 ATS in a divisional game. This makes sense. Dominant teams are better suited to using an extra…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints: 2013 Week 10 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (5-4) at New Orleans Saints (6-2) The Saints lost in New York last week to the Jets and it was viewed as a huge upset. Technically it was, the Saints were favored by 7 points, but I don’t know why anyone was shocked. The Saints lost in New…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2013 Week 10 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (4-4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-8) The Dolphins haven’t had an ordinary week. They’ve spent a lot of the week answering questions about the Richie Incognito/Jonathan Martin situation and dealing with the NFL and the media. That’s a huge distraction, before you even get into the fact that…
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