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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Oakland Raiders: Week 7 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-4) at Oakland Raiders (1-4) In the write up for Colts/Browns, I mentioned Bill Simmons’ theory from his picks column this week that because dogs are doing so well this year (57-32 ATS), the odds makers would start shrinking the spreads to compensate so the general public won’t…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts: Week 7 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (1-5) at Indianapolis Colts (2-3) Indianapolis is in a tough spot this week as favorites before being dogs and after losing as dogs. Teams are 54-78 ATS in that spot since 2008. Last week, they lost 35-9 to the Jets as 3.5 point dogs and next week they…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at St. Louis Rams: Week 7 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (3-3) at St. Louis Rams (3-3) It’s funny how much the general public likes to overreact to one game. Last week, everyone was talking about “what’s wrong with the Packers?” and now some people are calling them the best team in the NFL once again. On top…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans: Week 7 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (5-1) at Houston Texans (5-1) This is a very interesting game for a number of reasons. The most obvious is Baltimore’s injuries. This line was at -4 a week ago, but because of Baltimore’s injuries, it’s shifted 3 points, even though Baltimore won and Houston got blown out…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills: Week 7 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (2-4) at Buffalo Bills (3-3) These two teams are actually very, very similar. Tennessee ranks 29th in yards per play differential and Buffalo ranks 30th. Buffalo also ranks 30th in rate of sustaining drives differential, while Tennessee ranks 31st. I picked both teams for big plays last week…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at New England Patriots: Week 7 NFL Pick
New York Jets (3-3) at New England Patriots (3-3) You gotta love the public overreaction with the Patriots. Last week, they were one of the best teams in the league. Now you get guys like Tony Dungy saying they’re “not very good” and an “average team” just because they lost…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Week 7 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (1-4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-3) The Saints got their first win 2 weeks ago at home on Sunday Night Football over the Chargers, but their problems are far from solved. They still have a horrific defense, which is a contributing factor to them ranking 26th in…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at New York Giants: Week 7 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (3-3) at New York Giants (4-2) When I first saw this line, I instantly thought, trap line. The Giants were coming off a huge win in San Francisco and yet this line was suspiciously only at -7. My belief was furthered when the line started to actually fall…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears: Week 7 NFL Power Rankings (#1)
Last week: 4 (+3) Record: 4-1 I normally don’t comment on teams on bye, but I feel like this ranking requires a write up. I didn’t want to put a #1 team because I don’t know if anyone is deserving of that title, but I had to and I think…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans: Week 7 NFL Power Rankings (#2)
Last week: 1 (-1) Record: 5-1 Like I said, Atlanta might be better than Houston, but I needed an AFC representative in the top-2. Houston didn’t show up on Sunday Night Football. It happens to everyone. Everyone is allowed 1. You’d think they’d want to make a statement against the…
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