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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers: 2020 NFC Championship Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13-5) at Green Bay Packers (14-3) The Packers led the NFL in points per game this season, but in terms of first down rate over expected, the Packers ranked “just” 4th at +2.48%. The reason I prefer first down rate as a stat is because it treats…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs: 2020 AFC Championship Pick
Buffalo Bills (15-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (15-2) The long awaited news has come that Patrick Mahomes will be able to play in this game and be 100%, despite being knocked out of last week’s win with a concussion. The betting public obviously likes that, shooting this line up to…
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Continue reading →: 2020 NFL Divisional Round Picks
High Confidence Picks CLE +10 @ KC BUF -1.5 vs. BAL Medium Confidence Picks LAR +7 @ GB Low Confidence Picks TB +3 @ NO No Confidence Picks NA
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints: 2020 NFC Divisional Round Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (12-5) at New Orleans Saints (13-4) This was the toughest call of the week for me and the only one of the four games I didn’t lock in with a bet earlier this week. There is a lot of history that suggests Tom Brady and the Buccaneers…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs: 2020 AFC Divisional Round Pick
Cleveland Browns (12-5) at Kansas City Chiefs (14-2) After the Browns’ upset victory in Pittsburgh last weekend, I was expecting them to open as 7 or 7.5-point underdogs in Kansas City this week. When they opened as 10-point underdogs, I was surprised, leading to me locking this line in early,…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers: 2020 NFC Divisional Round Pick
Los Angeles Rams (11-6) at Green Bay Packers (13-3) The Rams have injury concerns on their offense heading into this game, but that has been the case for most of the second half of the season. After a mostly healthy first half of the season, stud left tackle Andrew Whitworth’s…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills: 2020 AFC Divisional Round Pick
Baltimore Ravens (12-5) at Buffalo Bills (14-3) This line favors the Bills by just 1.5 points in Buffalo, where the Bills will have the benefit of at least having some fans in the stands, suggesting that the odds makers and the public view these two teams about even, perhaps even…
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Continue reading →: 2021 NFL Head Coach Openings – Rankings and Predictions
1. Los Angeles Chargers Pros – Young franchise quarterback, talented roster, cap space to be aggressive in free agency Cons – Ownership, lack of fanbase The Chargers are one of the only two teams on this list with the most valuable asset in the NFL, a young franchise quarterback, Offensive…
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Continue reading →: 2020 NFL Divisional Round Early Pick Locks
I will have full write-ups for these picks this weekend, but I want to lock in three lines I really like before they move. LAR +7 @ GB CLE +10 @ KC BUF -1.5 vs. BAL
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Continue reading →: 2020 NFL Wild Card Round Picks
High Confidence Picks TEN +3.5 vs. BAL Medium Confidence Picks SEA -3 vs. LAR CLE +6 @ PIT Low Confidence Picks BUF -6 vs. IND NO -10 vs. CHI WAS +10 vs. TB No Confidence Picks NA Upset Picks TEN +160 vs. BAL
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