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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams: 2024 Week 8 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (5-1) at Los Angeles Rams (2-4) These two teams have very different records, with the Vikings tied for the best record in the NFC at 5-1 and the Rams out of the playoff picture at 2-4, but they have been more equal than that suggests, as the Vikings…
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Continue reading →: 2024 Week 7 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week IND 24 (-3) MIA 17 High Confidence Picks CIN 26 (-5.5) CLE 17 LAR 24 LV 20 (+7.5) Medium Confidence Picks DET 27 (+1.5) MIN 24 Upset Pick +110 JAX 24 (-5.5) NE 16 Low Confidence Picks ARZ 24 (+2) LAC 23 Upset Pick +115 GB…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at New Orleans Saints: 2024 Week 7 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (3-3) at New Orleans Saints (2-4) This game is a tough call. The Saints have been the slightly better team this season, possessing the edge in first down rate differential. The Broncos have the better defense, allowing a 27.50% first down rate and 4.44 yards per play, as…
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Continue reading →: 2024 Week 6 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week ATL 31 (-6) CAR 20 High Confidence Picks GB 24 ARZ 23 (+5.5) TB 24 (-3.5) NO 17 Medium Confidence Picks DET 30 (-3) DAL 24 NYJ 19 (+2.5) BUF 17 Upset Pick +120 IND 22 (+2.5) TEN 20 Upset Pick +120 Low Confidence Picks BAL…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks: 2024 Week 6 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (2-3) at Seattle Seahawks (3-2) Both of these teams lost in surprising fashion last week, the 49ers as 7.5-point home favorites against the Cardinals and the Seahawks as 7-point home favorites against the Giants, but both teams were in a bad spot, with this much more important…
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Continue reading →: 2024 Week 5 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week PIT 24 (-2.5) DAL 17 High Confidence Picks None Medium Confidence Picks ATL 27 (-1.5) TB 23 KC 23 NO 20 (+5.5) GB 27 LAR 26 (+3) JAX 24 IND 23 (+3.5) Low Confidence Picks DEN 17 LV 16 (+3) WAS 18 CLE 17 (+3) SF…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons: 2024 Week 5 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) at Atlanta Falcons (2-2) Going into the season, I expected the Falcons to be the significantly better of these two teams. The Buccaneers won two more games than the Falcons a year ago, going 9-8 as compared to 7-10 for Atlanta, but the Falcons held a…
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Continue reading →: 2024 Week 4 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week NYJ 27 (-7.5) DEN 13 High Confidence Picks CHI 26 (-3) LAR 20 MIN 24 (+3) GB 23 Upset Pick +130 Medium Confidence Picks DAL 23 NYG 20 (+5.5) CIN 31 (-4.5) CAR 24 CLE 20 (-1.5) LV 16 HOU 31 JAX 27 (+6.5) Low Confidence…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants: 2024 Week 4 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (1-2) at New York Giants (1-2) This line favored the visiting Dallas Cowboys by a full touchdown last week on the early line, but with the Giants pulling the upset in Cleveland as 6.5-point underdogs last week and the Cowboys losing to the Ravens in a game that…
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Continue reading →: 2024 Week 3 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week MIN 27 (+1.5) HOU 23 Upset Pick +110 High Confidence Picks NYJ 24 (-6) NE 13 Medium Confidence Picks CLE 23 (-6.5) NYG 13 LV 20 CAR 17 (+6.5) BUF 31 (-4.5) JAX 23 Low Confidence Picks KC 24 ATL 23 (+3) DET 33 (-3) ARZ…
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