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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Los Angeles Rams: 2017 Week 2 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (0-1) at Los Angeles Rams (1-0) The Rams had an impressive week 1 performance, dismantling the Indianapolis Colts in a 46-9 victory. They had a first down rate differential of +13.97%, 2nd best in the NFL last week, and scored 16 points just with their defense (two pick…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2017 Week 2 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (0-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-0) The Titans and Jaguars were both high on my underrated list coming into the season. The Jaguars got their season off on the right foot with a 29-7 victory in Houston, while the Titans lost at home 26-16 to the Raiders, but I…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: 2017 Week 2 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (0-1) at Baltimore Ravens (1-0) Coming into the season, I had the Ravens winning just 6 games. They pulled the week 1 upset in Cincinnati last week, shutting out the Bengals in a 20-0 victory, but the Bengals are having major offensive problems after losing their top-2 offensive…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs: 2017 Week 2 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (0-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) The Chiefs are one of the teams I underestimated going into the season. I knew they got significantly better down the stretch last season when Justin Houston returned from injury and talented rookies Chris Jones and Tyreek Hill started seeing more playing…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Indianapolis Colts: 2017 Week 2 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (0-1) at Indianapolis Colts (0-1) The Colts had an embarrassing week 1, losing 46-9 in Los Angeles to a Rams team that won 4 games last season. They only managed 10 first downs to the Rams’ 19 and moved the chains at a 13.97% worse rate than their…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Cincinnati Bengals: 2017 Week 2 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (0-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (0-1) When I saw this line was -3 in favor of the Bengals last week, I thought about locking in the pick a week in advance. Three points is usually the standard adjustment for homefield advantage, so that line suggested these two teams were…
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Continue reading →: 2017 Week 1 NFL Pick Results
2017 Straight Up: 9-6 Against the Spread: 7-8 Pick of the Week: 1-0 High Confidence: 2-1 Medium Confidence: 1-2 Money Picks (Medium confidence and higher): 4-3 Low Confidence: 2-1 No Confidence: 1-4 Upset Picks: 1-2 Since 2013 Straight Up: 685-394-4 (63.43%) Against the Spread: 559-496-28 (52.91%) Pick of the Week:…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings: 2017 Week 1 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (0-0) at Minnesota Vikings (0-0) This line favors the hometown Vikings by a field goal, suggesting these two teams are more or less equal. I have the Saints with two fewer wins than the Vikings in my season preview (10 vs. 8) and I have the Saints…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos: 2017 Week 1 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (0-0) at Denver Broncos (0-0) The Chargers have won a combined 9 games over the past 2 seasons, but they have had so much bad luck in terms of injuries and close losses. They’ve ranked 26th and 31st over the past 2 seasons respectively in adjusted games…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans: 2017 Week 1 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (0-0) at Tennessee Titans (0-0) This line favors the Titans by 2.5 points, suggesting the Raiders are a little bit better than the Titans. I think that’s backward. The Raiders won 12 games last season, while the Titans won just 9, but I think the Titans enter the…
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