Seattle Seahawks at Tennessee Titans: 2017 Week 3 NFL Pick

Seattle Seahawks (1-1) at Tennessee Titans (1-1)

The Seahawks have one of the best defenses in the league, but had back-to-back disappointing offensive games to start the season. They have just 33 first downs and 1 touchdown through 2 games and are moving the chains at a mere 26.77%, almost 7% less than league average. That’s despite playing a pair of middling at best defenses, Green Bay and San Francisco. Their offensive line has been a big problem and has hurt both their pass game and their run game significantly, but their offensive line issues are nothing new.

The bigger problem is that Russell Wilson is off to a sluggish start, after playing well in spite of offensive line issues in the 2nd half of last season. He’s completed just 56.1% of his passes for an average of 5.39 YPA, and just 1 touchdown on 66 attempts and he ranks 28th among 33 eligible quarterbacks on Pro Football Focus. I trust him to bounce back though, given his track record of success. Their offensive line will be a problem all year, but their offense should be better going forward and this team will likely end up as one of the best in the league again.

That being said, I have the Titans a few spots higher than them in my roster rankings right now because they are a much more complete team. They don’t have as much top level talent as the Seahawks, but they also don’t have any holes that are nearly as glaring as Seattle’s offensive line. I have this line at -3.5 in favor of Tennessee, so we’re getting a little bit of line value with the Titans at -2.5. It’s not enough for me to bet on them, but they’re the smarter choice in pick ‘em leagues and should win this game at home by a field goal or more.

Tennessee Titans 21 Seattle Seahawks 17

Pick against the spread: Tennessee -2.5

Confidence: Low

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