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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars: 2013 Week 12 NFL Power Rankings (#32)
Last week: 32 (+0) Record: 1-9 Week 11 Studs RT Austin Pasztor LE Jeremy Mincey RE Andre Branch RE Jason Babin CB Alan Ball CB Mike Harris Week 11 Duds QB Chad Henne [switch_ad_hub] [switch_ad_hub] [switch_ad_hub]
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Oakland Raiders: 2013 Week 12 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (4-6) at Oakland Raiders (4-6) The Raiders may be 4-6, but they aren’t as good as their record. Their 4 wins have come against teams that are a combined 11-29. They are moving the chains at a 67% rate, as opposed to 73% for their opponents. Their defense…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns: 2013 Week 12 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (4-6) at Cleveland Browns (4-6) The Steelers may be 4-6, but they’re better than their record. They are moving the chains at a 74% rate, as opposed to 73% for their opponents, a differential that is 13th in the NFL. They are 4-2 since the bye, after their…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Arizona Cardinals: 2013 Week 12 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (7-3) at Arizona Cardinals (6-4) The Cardinals are favored by 3 over the Colts, which seems to be confusing the public as they are all over the underdog here, which is very rare. They do have somewhat of a point. The Colts are moving the chains at a…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at St. Louis Rams: 2013 Week 12 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (6-4) at St. Louis Rams (4-6) Before the bye, the Rams beat the Colts in blowout fashion. However, there were a lot of fluky things going on. They scored twice on return touchdowns, twice on long touchdowns, and only had one methodical touchdown drive. This forced the Colts…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants: 2013 Week 12 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (5-5) at New York Giants (4-6) You could argue we’re getting line value with the Giants here. The Giants are moving the chains at a 68% rate, as opposed to 73% for their opponents. The Cowboys, meanwhile, are moving the chains at a 72% rate, as opposed to…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Miami Dolphins: 2013 Week 12 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (7-3) at Miami Dolphins (5-5) The Panthers have established themselves as a top level team with wins over the Patriots and 49ers in the past 2 weeks, winning both by a touchdown or less, despite going 2-14 in games decided by a touchdown or less since the start…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins: 2013 Week 12 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (6-4) at Washington Redskins (3-7) The 49ers have been deadly off of a loss in the Jim Harbaugh era. It might not seem that way because they’ve lost back-to-back games on separate occasions twice this season. However, they are 6-3 ATS off of a loss in the…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans: 2013 Week 12 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-9) at Houston Texans (2-8) One of the most powerful trends in betting is known as the six and six trend, meaning teams who finish with 6 wins or fewer are 25-69 ATS as favorites of 6 or more since 2002. There are two issues with this trend.…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers: 2013 Week 12 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (2-8) at Green Bay Packers (5-5) One of the most powerful trends in football says that divisional home favorites rarely cover before being divisional road dogs. Teams are 18-49 ATS in that spot since 2002, which is ridiculously low and impossible to ignore. The Packers are in that…
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