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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Houston Texans: 2013 Week 4 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (3-0) at Houston Texans (2-1) The Seahawks are a significantly better team at home than on the road and have been for years. Since 2007, they are 34-18 at home, outscoring opponents by an average of 7.1 points per games and going 36-15 ATS. Meanwhile, on the road,…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns: 2013 Week 4 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (2-1) at Cleveland Browns (1-2) The Browns won last week in Minnesota, but they will find live a lot tougher this week against the Bengals. For one, they probably won’t be as successful if they try trick play again, like they did last week, when their punter threw…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Kansas City Chiefs: 2013 Week 4 NFL Pick
New York Giants (0-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) The Giants are an NFL worst -9 in turnovers, while the Chiefs are an NFL best +9 in turnovers. Therefore, the Chiefs should dominate the turnover battle and win this game right? Well, that’s not necessarily true. Turnover margin tends to…
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Continue reading →: 2013 Week 3 NFL Pick Results
Last week SU: 11-5 ATS: 11-4-1 Pick of the Week: 1-0 High Confidence: 1-0 Medium Confidence: 2-2 Low Confidence: 4-0-1 No Confidence: 3-2 Upset Picks: 3-1 2013 SU: 31-17 ATS: 28-19-1 Pick of the Week: 2-1 High Confidence: 2-2 Medium Confidence: 6-7 Low Confidence: 8-3-1 No Confidence: 10-6 Upset Picks:…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at St. Louis Rams: 2013 Week 4 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (1-2) at St. Louis Rams (1-2) I legitimately don’t understand this line. Yes, the 49ers haven’t looked good in the past two weeks, but neither have the Rams. Week 2, the Rams were down 21-0 in Atlanta before a combination of garbage time and Falcon injuries allowed…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks: 2013 Week 4 NFL Power Rankings (#1)
Last week: 1 Yeah, it was just the Jaguars, but the Seahawks were still impressive, becoming the first team to cover as 19+ point favorites since the 2001 Rams. The previous 6 teams to attempt to do so could not (2002 Eagles, 2007 Patriots 4 times, 2011 Patriots) and the…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos: 2013 Week 4 NFL Power Rankings (#2)
Last week: 3 (+1) The Broncos beat the Raiders badly, but the final score of 37-21 doesn’t tell how big of a blowout it was. The Broncos had 31 first downs to just 1 punt, while the Raiders had 13 first downs and punted 6 times. The Raiders actually won…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints: 2013 Week 4 NFL Power Rankings (#3)
Last week: 4 (+1) The Saints have held all 3 of their opponents this season to 17 or fewer points this season, something they did a total of 3 times last season. Young stars have broken out, especially Cameron Jordan, who is playing like an All-Pro back at his collegiate…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots: 2013 Week 4 NFL Power Rankings (#4)
Last week: 6 (+2) The Patriots’ 23-3 win reminded me of how they used to win games when they were winning Super Bowls. That’s definitely getting a little ahead of ourselves, but the defense looks for real. I know the Buccaneers’ offense is terrible, but holding anyone to 3 points…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers: 2013 Week 4 NFL Power Rankings (#5)
Last week: 2 (-3) The 49ers get a pass from me for losing in Seattle because the Seahawks are near impossible to beat at home and they get a pass for last week because they were without Vernon Davis and they were very possibly distracted by the Aldon Smith situation.…
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