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Continue reading →: St. Louis Rams at Dallas Cowboys: 2013 Week 3 NFL Pick
St. Louis Rams (1-1) at Dallas Cowboys (1-1) Trends wise, the Cowboys are in a bad situation this week. St. Louis is road dogs after a road loss, a situation teams are 88-52 ATS since 2008. Teams cover about 65% of the time in this situation historically as well, no…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos: 2013 Week 3 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (1-1) at Denver Broncos (2-0) I think a lot of people have forgotten how awful the Raiders were supposed to be coming into this season and I don’t understand why. They did almost beat the Colts in Indianapolis week 1, but the Colts won 7 games by 7…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at New York Jets: 2013 Week 3 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (1-1) at New York Jets (1-1) It’s really early, but the Jets have the best defense in the NFL, by far, in terms of preventing their opponent from moving the chains. They’ve allowed just 51.2% of first and 10s to be converted for a subsequent first down. Getting…
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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Tennessee Titans: 2013 Week 3 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (1-1) at Tennessee Titans (1-1) These two teams have had eerily similar starts to their season. Both have almost beaten the Texans in what was seen as a “surprise,” even though the Texans haven’t really been that good since the middle of last season. Both also pulled…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Carolina Panthers: 2013 Week 3 NFL Pick
New York Giants (0-2) at Carolina Panthers (0-2) The Panthers are now 2-14 since 2011 in games decided by a touchdown or less. Part of my reasoning for them having a big season was that their record in close games would even out, as it always does in the long…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Cincinnati Bengals: 2013 Week 3 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (1-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-1) I feel like I say this every week, but Andy Dalton is 1-11 in his career against future playoff teams in his first two years in the league, completing 250 of 445 (56.2%) for 2934 yards (6.6 YPA), 12 touchdowns, and 13…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Seattle Seahawks: 2013 Week 3 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (0-2) at Seattle Seahawks (2-0) Ordinarily, I don’t like laying 19 points, but in this case, I think this line is completely justified, if not too low. The Seahawks aren’t quite as good at home as their 29-3 win over the 49ers would suggest. If you played that…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at San Francisco 49ers: 2013 Week 3 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (1-1) at San Francisco 49ers (1-1) The 49ers lost in Seattle last week 29-3, but there’s no shame at all losing to the Seahawks in Seattle. Dating back to the start of last season, the Seahawks have won all 9 home games by an average score of 30-11.…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Miami Dolphins: 2013 Week 3 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (1-1) at Miami Dolphins (2-0) The Falcons have been destroyed by injuries thus far this season. Talented linebacker Sean Weatherspoon will miss at least 8 weeks after being put on short-term IR this week, taking away one of the few average or better starters the Falcons have on…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Washington Redskins: 2013 Week 3 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (1-1) at Washington Redskins (0-2) The Redskins aren’t making the playoffs in the loaded NFC after starting 0-2, but this wasn’t unpredictable. It’s going to take Robert Griffin a year or so to get back to where he was, just like it took Tom Brady when he tore…
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