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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins: Week 17 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (8-7) at Washington Redskins (9-6) The name of the game is simple for the Dallas Cowboys. If they lose, they go home. If they win, they win the NFC East. For the Redskins, it’s a little bit more complicated. They clinch the division with a win, same as…
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Continue reading →: St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks: Week 17 NFL Pick
St. Louis Rams (7-7-1) at Seattle Seahawks (10-5) Everyone knows about the Seahawks’ home prowess, but it’s really, really significant, possibly even more than people realize. At home, they are 47-20 ATS since 2005, including 6-0 ATS as double digit favorites and 16-3 ATS as touchdown plus home favorites. For…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots: Week 17 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (7-8) at New England Patriots (11-4) I can’t handicap week 17 games like I do other games (maybe that’s a good thing because I’ve had a rough few weeks), because one of the things I do is look for upcoming distractions and dynamic changes on their schedule. In…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Buffalo Bills: Week 17 NFL Pick
New York Jets (6-9) at Buffalo Bills (5-10) Aside from this being a divisional matchup, this is a completely meaningless game for these two teams. Both are out of the playoffs by a long shot and both could easily have new Head Coaches and starting quarterbacks next season. I don’t…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions: Week 17 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (9-6) at Detroit Lions (4-11) Chicago is in a must win game here, but that doesn’t mean that this means more to them. The Lions would love nothing more here than to play spoiler and eliminate a division rival. However, unlike the Eagles against the Giants, I don’t…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts: Week 17 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (12-3) at Indianapolis Colts (10-5) The Texans need this win to lock up not only the #1 seed, but also a first round bye. If they lose, they’ll need Denver or New England to lose as double digit favorites or they’ll be the #3 seed. The Colts, meanwhile,…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers: Week 17 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (5-10) at San Francisco 49ers (10-4-1) It’s usually a smart thing to take well coached teams off a loss. They’re generally extra focused in a bounce back game the following week. Bill Belichick is 35-20 ATS off a loss since 2000. Mike McCarthy is 22-13 ATS in that…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers: Week 17 NFL Power Rankings (#1)
Last week: 7 (+6) Record: 11-4 Net points per drive: 0.50 (6th) DVOA: 30.0% (5th) Weighted DVOA: 27.0% (4th) Studs QB Aaron Rodgers: 27 of 38 for 342 yards and 3 touchdowns, 2 drops, 1 throw away, 108.2 adjusted QB rating, pressured on 11 of 42 drop backs (1 sack,…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots: Week 17 NFL Power Rankings (#2)
Last week: 2 (+0) Record: 11-4 Net points per drive: 0.99 (1st) DVOA: 33.7% (3rd) Weighted DVOA: 35.9% (3rd) Studs SS Patrick Chung: Allowed 1 catch for 5 yards on 5 attempts, 2 interceptions, 1 pass deflection, 6 solo tackles, 2 stops, 1 penalty ROLB Dont’a Hightower: 4 solo tackles,…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons: Week 17 NFL Power Rankings (#3)
Last week: 3 (+0) Record: 13-2 Net points per drive: 0.77 (3rd) DVOA: 11.6% (7th) Weighted DVOA: 7.3% (11th) Studs QB Matt Ryan: 25 of 32 for 279 yards and 4 touchdowns, 105.6 adjusted QB rating, pressured on 13 of 35 drop backs (1 sack, 1 scramble, 6 of 11,…
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