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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers: Week 14 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (5-7) at San Francisco 49ers (8-3) The 49ers lost to the Rams last week in St. Louis, which has gotten a lot of Alex Smith supporters saying “I told you so,” questioning Jim Harbaugh’s decision to bench Alex Smith for Colin Kaepernick. These people seem to be forgetting…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at New England Patriots: Week 14 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (11-1) at New England Patriots (9-3) This is a huge game. The Texans, tied for best record in the NFL at 11-1, will be dogs for the 2nd time this season as they head to Foxboro to play the New England Patriots. The Texans covered in their first…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings: Week 14 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (6-6) at Chicago Bears (8-4) The Bears lost last week in upset fashion, but they still have a very good chance to be this year’s team that goes from out of the playoffs to a first round bye because the 49ers also lost. If they win 1 more…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns: Week 14 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (2-10) at Cleveland Browns (4-8) One of the most powerful trends is known as the six and six trend. It says that teams who finish 6-10 or worse are 23-64 ATS against the spread since 2002 as favorites of 6 or more. That makes sense. Bad teams…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers: Week 14 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (4-8) at Green Bay Packers (8-4) This is a really interesting game. Earlier this week, I wrote about some of the parity related things that happen every single year and how those could be used to help predict games the rest of the way. The Lions are by…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at New York Giants: Week 14 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (5-7) at New York Giants (7-5) Earlier this week, I outlined why the Redskins should be considered the favorites to win the NFC East. The Redskins, presumably, have the tiebreaker, by virtue of their better divisional record. They are a game back right now, but they are…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts: Week 14 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (4-8) at Indianapolis Colts (8-4) Last week, I bet against the Colts because I felt they were an overrated team and the Lions were an underrated team. I felt the Colts were overrated because they’ve had a very easy schedule and they’ve actually had a -43 points differential…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots: Week 14 NFL Power Rankings (#1)
Last week: 1 (+0) Record: 9-3 Net points per drive: 1.05 (1st) DVOA: 38.9% (1st) Weighted DVOA: 39.7% (1st) New England Studs C Ryan Wendell: Allowed 1 quarterback hit on 46 pass block snaps, run blocked for 72 yards on 14 attempts WR Wes Welker: Caught 12 passes for 103…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers: Week 14 NFL Power Rankings (#2)
Last week: 2 (+0) Record: 8-3-1 Net points per drive: 0.92 (2nd) DVOA: 35.1% (3rd) Weighted DVOA: 32.2% (4th) Studs QB Colin Kaepernick: 21 of 32 for 208 yards, 4 throw aways, 3 drops, 105.3 adjusted QB rating, pressured on 12 of 40 drop backs (3 sacks, 3 scrambles, 2…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans: Week 14 NFL Power Rankings (#3)
Last week: 3 (+0) Record: 11-1 Net points per drive: 0.79 (3rd) DVOA: 18.6% (7th) Weighted DVOA: 16.4% (8th) Studs LT Duane Brown: Did not allow a pressure on 34 pass block snaps, run blocked for 2 yards on 1 attempt FS Glover Quin: Allowed 4 catches for 33 yards…
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