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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks: Week 9 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (5-3) at Seattle Seahawks (4-4) I think I preface every single one of my picks on Seattle’s game by saying I love picking their games because of their huge home/road disparity. Dating back to 2007, they are 30-14 ATS at home and 16-30 ATS on the road. They’ve…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Giants: Week 9 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3) at New York Giants (6-2) Last week, the Giants won in Dallas in the exact type of game they normally win. They are now 18-7 ATS as road favorites under Tom Coughlin. On the road in general, they are 50-25 ATS under Tom Coughlin, as opposed to…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers: Week 9 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (4-4) at Green Bay Packers (5-3) This is what I said about the Cardinals after their 3-0 start. “Almost every year, there’s a team that gets off to a good start and then fades away and misses the playoffs and makes their believers look dumb (“This Ryan Fitzpatrick…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Washington Redskins: Week 9 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (1-6) at Washington Redskins (3-5) This is one of two trap lines I identified this week. According to this line, the Redskins and the Panthers are comparable teams with Washington as 3 point home favorites. However, Washington is at 3-5 and the Panthers are at 1-6. Because of…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals: Week 9 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (4-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-4) The Broncos rank 2nd in the league in yards per play differential at 1.4, just .1 behind San Francisco, who has looked untouchable for weeks in that category. No one else is above 0.7. They rank just 9th in rate of sustaining drives differential, thanks…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons: Week 9 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (3-4) at Atlanta Falcons (7-0) The Falcons are great at home, they’re undefeated, and the Cowboys are a laughing stock. How do they not win by 4 right? Well, as is often the case in betting, when something is too good to be true, it generally is. I…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Oakland Raiders: Week 9 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-4) at Oakland Raiders (3-4) After unimpressive wins over the Jaguars and Chiefs, the Raiders now sit at 3-4 and are somehow in the AFC playoff mix. However, they still aren’t very good. They have a point differential of -42. They got blown out in Oakland and…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers trade CB Aqib Talib to the New England Patriots
Trade for Patriots: I absolutely love this trade for the Patriots. They desperately need cornerback help. They have a few young cornerbacks, but none of them are playing well. Tom Brady is 35 so their Super Bowl window is closing. They need a short term solution so they don’t have…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns: Week 9 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (5-2) at Cleveland Browns (2-6) Road favorites are 42-15 ATS off a bye. That makes sense. Road favorites tend to be very good teams and very good teams tend to be extra focused with a week off. The Browns kind of got screwed over by the schedulers because…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons: Week 9 NFL Power Rankings (#1)
Last week: 3 (+2) Record: 7-0 I’m moving the Falcons into the #1 spot for the first time all season, but I’m still not sold. 4 of their 7 wins have come by a touchdown or less. They’ve been very reliant on winning the turnover margin, which is inconsistent on…
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