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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills: 2020 AFC Wild Card Round Pick
Indianapolis Colts (11-5) at Buffalo Bills (13-3) The Colts qualified for the post-season at 11-5 and their 8th ranked +89 point differential is what you’d expect from an 11-win team, but they benefited from the league’s 2nd best turnover margin at +10 and the league’s easiest schedule, two things that…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Washington Football Team: 2020 NFC Wild Card Round Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-5) at Washington Football Team (7-9) The Washington Football Team has made the post-season at 7-9, just the third time in NFL history a team with a losing record has made the playoffs. Washington’s record and the fact that they only qualified for the playoffs because they’re…
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Continue reading →: NFL Against The Spread Pick Results (2013-2020)
2020 Regular Season Total Against the Spread: 130-122-4 (51.59%) Pick of the Week: 10-6-1 (62.50%) High Confidence Picks: 16-12 (57.14%) Medium Confidence Picks: 39-34-1 (53.42%) Money Picks (Medium Confidence and higher): 65-52-2 (55.66%) Low Confidence Picks: 46-38 (54.76%) No Confidence Picks: 19-32-2 (37.25%) Moneyline Upset Picks: 18-18 (50.00%) 2019 Total…
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Continue reading →: 2020 Week 17 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week CIN +14 vs. BAL High Confidence Picks WAS -3.5 @ PHI Medium Confidence Picks SEA -7 @ SF NO -5 @ CAR DET +4 vs. MIN NE -3 vs. NYJ Low Confidence Picks KC +4 vs. LAC BUF -1.5 vs. MIA NYG +1.5 vs. DAL GB…
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Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos: 2020 Week 17 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (7-8) at Denver Broncos (5-10) The Raiders lost last week in crushing fashion, kicking what they thought was the game winning field goal with 19 seconds left in the game, only to allow the Dolphins to go 49 yards in one play with no timeouts left to…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills: 2020 Week 17 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (10-5) at Buffalo Bills (12-3) This is one of the toughest calls of the week because no one seems to know what the Bills are going to be doing with their star players. Like Pittsburgh, Buffalo is locked into either the 2 or 3 seed in the AFC,…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals: 2020 Week 17 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (10-5) at Cincinnati Bengals (4-10-1) The primary stat I use to handicap games is schedule adjusted first down rate differential, which tends to be more predictive than other stats because it minimizes the impact of stats that tend to be less predictable on a week-to-week basis, like turnover…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams: 2020 Week 17 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (8-7) at Los Angeles Rams (9-6) The Rams had a chance to clinch the division last week with a win in Seattle, but instead that game went about as bad as it could, as not only did the Rams lose, but they lost their starting quarterback Jared Goff,…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts: 2020 Week 17 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-14) at Indianapolis Colts (10-5) When these two teams met all the way back in week 1, I bet the Colts as 8-point favorites in Jacksonville because I had the Colts ranked as one of the top teams in the league and the Jaguars as one of the…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans: 2020 Week 17 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (10-5) at Houston Texans (4-11) I was hoping we would get the Titans at a discount this week after last week’s 40-14 loss in Green Bay. The Titans looked ugly in that game, losing the first down rate battle by 14.91%, but it’s likely they knew they could…
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