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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Oakland Raiders: 2019 Week 11 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (0-9) at Oakland Raiders (5-4) The Raiders are 5-4, but they haven’t played as well as that suggests. While their 5 wins have come by a combined 27 points, their 4 losses have come by a combined 59 points, giving them a -32 point differential that ranks 24th…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Philadelphia Eagles: 2019 Week 11 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (8-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-4) The Patriots suffered their first loss of the season in their last game against the Ravens, as a defense that had allowed just 4 offensive touchdowns through the first 8 games of the season allowed 4 offensive touchdowns in a 38-20 loss…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Minnesota Vikings: 2019 Week 11 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (3-6) at Minnesota Vikings (7-3) The Vikings are in a great spot this week, favored by 10 points at home going into their bye week, as large favorites tend to take care of business at home before a week off. Since 2002, home favorites of 6+ are 49-17…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions: 2019 Week 11 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (5-4) at Detroit Lions (3-5-1) The Lions will be without quarterback Matt Stafford for the second straight week, but he’s not their only significant injury situation. The Lions will also be without defensive lineman Da’Shawn Hand, right tackle Ricky Wagner, and could be without safety Tracy Walker, who…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens: 2019 Week 11 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (6-3) at Baltimore Ravens (7-2) In a key matchup in the AFC, the Ravens enter one game better in the standings than the Texans, but the Texans have arguably the more impressive resume. These two teams are about even in first down rate differential, with the Ravens ranking…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts: 2019 Week 11 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-5) at Indianapolis Colts (5-4) The Colts lost at home as double digit favorites to the Dolphins last week and, as a result, the line for their game this week against the Jaguars has shifted from Indianapolis -3.5 on the early line to -2.5 this week. That’s a…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers: 2019 Week 11 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (2-7) at Carolina Panthers (5-4) At 2-7, the Falcons have one of the worst records in the NFL, but peripheral stats have always suggested they’ve played better than the outcome of their games would suggest. Over the past couple weeks, the outcomes of their games have significantly improved,…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns: 2019 Week 11 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (5-4) at Cleveland Browns (3-6) This is going to be one of my lowest confidence picks of the week. Not only do I not have a strong lean either way, but Thursday games have been tough to predict this season, as I am just 2-7 ATS on Thursday…
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Continue reading →: 2019 Week 10 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week TEN +6 vs. KC High Confidence Picks GB -5 vs. CAR Medium Confidence Picks IND -10.5 vs. MIA DAL -3 vs. MIN BUF +3 @ CLE LAC -1 @ OAK Low Confidence Picks NYG -3 @ NYJ TB -4 vs. ARZ CIN +10.5 vs. BAL LAR…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears: 2019 Week 10 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (3-4-1) at Chicago Bears (3-5) This line is currently off the board because of the uncertainty of Matt Stafford’s status, as Stafford is expected to be truly a gametime decision, playing through hip and back injuries that some have advised him to sit out and rest so he…
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