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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints: 2019 Week 10 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (1-7) at New Orleans Saints (7-1) This was one of the tougher games of the week to decide. On one hand, the Saints are arguably the top team in the league. They’ve gone 7-1, despite Drew Brees only playing about nine quarters all season. Their defense ranks 5th…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers: 2019 Week 10 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (7-2) at San Francisco 49ers (8-0) The 49ers are the NFL’s lone undefeated team and have been every bit as impressive as that suggests. Their average margin of victory has been 16.63 points per game, with just two wins by one score or fewer. They haven’t overly benefitted…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2019 Week 10 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (3-5-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-6) The Buccaneers are 2-6, but they’ve been competitive in most of their games, despite facing the 5th toughest schedule in the NFL in terms of DVOA (6 of 8 opponents are 5-3 or better). Only two of their six losses have come…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2019 Week 10 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (5-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (4-4) The Steelers are 4-4, despite losing franchise quarterback Ben Roethlisberger for the season week 2. Even in their losses, they have been competitive, losing 3 of the 4 games by a combined 9 points, despite all 4 losses coming against teams that…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys: 2019 Week 10 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (6-3) at Dallas Cowboys (5-3) The Cowboys have a solid 5-3 record, but I think they’re even better than that suggests. While their 3 losses have come by a combined 14 points, their 5 wins have come by a combined 99 points, giving them a point differential of…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns: 2019 Week 10 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (6-2) at Cleveland Browns (2-6) These two teams have mirror image records, with the Bills at 6-2 and the Browns at 2-6, but it’s fair to wonder if they’d have a similar record if they played the same schedule. While the Browns have faced the 4th toughest schedule…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at New York Jets: 2019 Week 10 NFL Pick
New York Giants (2-7) at New York Jets (1-7) Earlier in the week, I thought I would be making a big play on the Giants this week, as they opened as mere 1-point favorites in what is effectively a neutral site game against their stadium co-tenants the New York Jets.…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans: 2019 Week 10 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (6-3) at Tennessee Titans (4-5) When Pat Mahomes went down in severe pain during the Chiefs’ Thursday Night Football game against the Broncos a few weeks ago, it looked like the Chiefs’ season might be over. Instead, Mahomes only missed about two and a half games, the…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers: 2019 Week 10 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (5-3) at Green Bay Packers (7-2) The Packers surprisingly lost to the Chargers last week, but the Chargers were healthier in that game than they’ve been all season, so it’s not a huge surprise the Packers had trouble with a team that was one of the better teams…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts: 2019 Week 10 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (1-7) at Indianapolis Colts (5-3) The Dolphins won their first game of the season last week, but that wasn’t all that surprising. Winless teams tend to be good bets this late in the season (55-31 ATS in week 8 or later) because they tend to be undervalued and…
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