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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland Raiders: 2017 Week 6 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (1-4) at Oakland Raiders (2-3) When I saw Derek Carr was going to be play, I was excited because I thought we’d be getting a significant amount of points with the Chargers, which would have made this a great betting opportunity. The Raiders are obviously better with…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Baltimore Ravens: 2017 Week 6 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (1-4) at Baltimore Ravens (3-2) The Ravens are 3-2, but their 3 wins have come against the Bengals, the Browns, and the Raiders, who were without Derek Carr, right guard Gabe Jackson, and their top-2 cornerbacks. Meanwhile, their 2 losses (Jacksonville and Pittsburgh) came by a combined 58…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Arizona Cardinals: 2017 Week 6 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2) at Arizona Cardinals (2-3) The Buccaneers lost last week 19-14 on Thursday Night to the New England Patriots, but they could have easily won the game and gone to 3-1. They had 26 first downs and 2 offensive touchdowns, while the Patriots had just 23 first…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2017 Week 6 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (3-2) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-2) Both of these teams are off to surprising 3-2 starts, but I think the Jaguars are a little bit more for real than the Rams. Two of the Rams’ three wins came against the Colts and 49ers, two of the worst teams…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs: 2017 Week 6 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (3-2) at Kansas City Chiefs (5-0) This line shifted from 2.5 in favor of the Chiefs on the early line last week to 4.5 this week, crossing through key lines of 3 and 4. Typically, line movements like that are overreactions to a single week of play and…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans: 2017 Week 6 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (0-5) at Houston Texans (2-3) The Browns are 0-5 and tied for the 2nd worst turnover margin in the league at -7. Fortunately for them, turnover margins tend to be very inconsistent on a week-to-week basis. For example, the Browns were -2 against the Jets last week and…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Carolina Panthers: 2017 Week 6 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (4-1) at Carolina Panthers (4-1) Ordinarily, in a Thursday night non-conference matchup like this, the smart move is to take home favorites, as they are 35-18 ATS all-time. It makes sense that better teams would cover at a high rate at home on a short week. Unfortunately, the…
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Continue reading →: 2017 Week 5 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week GB +2 @ DAL High Confidence Picks MIN -3 @ CHI SEA +1.5 @ LAR Medium Confidence Picks CLE +2 vs. NYJ OAK -2.5 vs. BAL LAC+3.5 @ NYG Low Confidence Picks TEN +1.5 @ MIA JAX +7.5 @ PIT PHI -6.5 vs. ARZ DET -2…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans: 2017 Week 5 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (4-0) at Houston Texans (2-2) The Texans dropped 57 points on the Titans last week, picking up 33 first downs in the process. That performance was night and day from their week 1 performance in a 29-7 loss to the Jaguars. The obvious difference is the quarterback,…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears: 2017 Week 5 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (2-2) at Chicago Bears (1-3) The Vikings have had some of the worst injury luck in the league over the past couple seasons and the injury bug struck again in last week’s loss to the Lions, when promising rookie running back Dalvin Cook tore his ACL, ending his…
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