-
Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Oakland Raiders: 2017 Week 5 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (2-2) at Oakland Raiders (2-2) The big injury that gets attention in this game is the back injury to Derek Carr, who will be replaced by backup EJ Manuel at least this week, as he recovers from a small fracture. However, the Raiders are basically healthy other than…
-
Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams: 2017 Week 5 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (2-2) at Los Angeles Rams (3-1) The Seahawks were favored by 3 points on the early line last week, but this line has since shifted a full 4.5 points to favor the Rams by 1.5 points. Typically I love fading significant week to week line movements like that…
-
Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys: 2017 Week 5 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (3-1) at Dallas Cowboys (2-2) The Cowboys went 12-4 last year, but did not enter the 2017 season with as talented of a team, after losing 2 key starters on their offensive line and several key members of their secondary this off-season, and then losing top interior…
-
Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2017 Week 5 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (2-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) The Patriots lost last week at home to the Panthers 33-30 on a last second field goal, after the Patriots tied it up in the 4th with back-to-back touchdown drives. Historically, the Patriots have been a great bet after a loss…
-
Continue reading →: 2017 Week 4 NFL Pick Results
2017 Straight Up: 37-26 Against the Spread: 34-29 Pick of the Week: 2-2 High Confidence: 4-3 Medium Confidence: 9-9 Money Picks (Medium confidence and higher): 15-14 Low Confidence: 9-7 No Confidence: 10-8 Upset Picks: 4-4 Since 2013 Straight Up: 713-414-4 (63.22%) Against the Spread: 586-517-28 (53.05%) Pick of the Week:…
-
Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Kansas City Chiefs: 2017 Week 4 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (2-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) The Chiefs have gotten off to a hot start, winning each of their first 3 games. The most surprising part is how they’ve done it. The Chiefs have been a defense first team for several years, but they rank 2nd in first…
-
Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings: 2017 Week 4 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (2-1) at Minnesota Vikings (2-1) The Lions are 2-1 and were literally inches away from beating the Falcons and going to 3-0 last week, but they rank 29th in first down rate differential (-6.54%), as they have allowed 12 more first downs than they’ve picked up. Despite their…
-
Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Seattle Seahawks: 2017 Week 4 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (1-2) at Seattle Seahawks (1-2) This is one of the toughest games of the week to predict against the spread. The Seahawks are favored by 12.5 and I have this line calculated at -13.5 because the Colts are one of the least talented teams in the league and…
-
Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Dallas Cowboys: 2017 Week 4 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (2-1) at Dallas Cowboys (2-1) The Rams are a little bit of an overrated team. They’re definitely better than they were last season, with an improved offensive talent around an improved Jared Goff, but I think the general public overestimates how much better. In my roster rankings,…
-
Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals: 2017 Week 4 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (0-3) at Arizona Cardinals (1-2) The Cardinals finished the 2015 season #1 in first down rate differential when they finished 13-3 and then they finished #1 in that metric again in 2016, despite going 7-8-1, as they could have easily won 10-12 games if not for numerous…
-
Subscribe
Subscribed
Have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
