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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers: 2017 Week 4 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (1-2) at Green Bay Packers (2-1) Typically, I love going against significant week-to-week line movements because they tend to be an overreaction to a single week of play. This case is no different. The Packers were favored by 11.5 on the early line last week, but now are…
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Continue reading →: 2017 Week 3 NFL Pick Results
2017 Straight Up: 29-18 Against the Spread: 26-21 Pick of the Week: 2-1 High Confidence: 4-3 Medium Confidence: 6-5 Money Picks (Medium confidence and higher): 12-9 Low Confidence: 7-6 No Confidence: 7-6 Upset Picks: 4-4 Since 2013 Straight Up: 705-406-4 (63.41%) Against the Spread: 578-509-28 (53.09%) Pick of the Week:…
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Continue reading →: 2017 Week 3 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week Jacksonville +4 vs. Baltimore High Confidence Picks Cincinnati +7.5 @ Green Bay LA Chargers +3.5 vs. Kansas City Medium Confidence Picks New England -14 vs. Houston Buffalo +3.5 vs. Denver Indianapolis +1.5 vs. Cleveland Low Confidence Picks Atlanta -3 @ Detroit Arizona +3.5 vs. Dallas Philadelphia…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Arizona Cardinals: 2017 Week 3 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (1-1) at Arizona Cardinals (1-1) The Cardinals are not the same team they were a year ago, when they ranked 1st in first down rate differential. They lost five starters on defense, including stud defensive end Calais Campbell and talented safeties Tony Jefferson and DJ Swearinger, and they…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at Washington Redskins: 2017 Week 3 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (2-0) at Washington Redskins (1-1) This is the toughest game of the week because the line is right where it’s supposed to be and neither team is in a particularly good or bad spot. I have these two teams about six points apart, so a line of -3…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Chicago Bears: 2017 Week 3 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (2-0) at Chicago Bears (0-2) This is a classic Steelers trap game. The Steelers are just 4-13 ATS as non-divisional road favorites of 4.5 or more in the Ben Roethlisberger era (since 2004). For whatever reason, this team always seems to play down to the level of their…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers: 2017 Week 3 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (0-2) at Carolina Panthers (2-0) The Panthers’ defense has been incredible through the first 2 games of the season with Luke Kuechly back from the concussions that cost him time last season and with a pair of young cornerbacks (James Bradberry and Daryl Worley) taking a step…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Minnesota Vikings: 2017 Week 3 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0) at Minnesota Vikings (1-1) The Vikings’ season got off to such a promising start with Sam Bradford having the game of his life in their week 1 home victory over the Saints. However, Bradford’s surgically repaired knee started giving him trouble a few days after that…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Tennessee Titans: 2017 Week 3 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (1-1) at Tennessee Titans (1-1) The Seahawks have one of the best defenses in the league, but had back-to-back disappointing offensive games to start the season. They have just 33 first downs and 1 touchdown through 2 games and are moving the chains at a mere 26.77%, almost…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Detroit Lions: 2017 Week 3 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (2-0) at Detroit Lions (2-0) The Lions are 2-0, but I am not sold on them. They went 9-7 last year, but they didn’t beat a single playoff team and only won one game by more than a touchdown. This season, they have defensive end Ezekiel Ansah back…
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