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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2017 Week 2 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (0-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-0) The Titans and Jaguars were both high on my underrated list coming into the season. The Jaguars got their season off on the right foot with a 29-7 victory in Houston, while the Titans lost at home 26-16 to the Raiders, but I…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: 2017 Week 2 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (0-1) at Baltimore Ravens (1-0) Coming into the season, I had the Ravens winning just 6 games. They pulled the week 1 upset in Cincinnati last week, shutting out the Bengals in a 20-0 victory, but the Bengals are having major offensive problems after losing their top-2 offensive…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs: 2017 Week 2 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (0-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) The Chiefs are one of the teams I underestimated going into the season. I knew they got significantly better down the stretch last season when Justin Houston returned from injury and talented rookies Chris Jones and Tyreek Hill started seeing more playing…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Indianapolis Colts: 2017 Week 2 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (0-1) at Indianapolis Colts (0-1) The Colts had an embarrassing week 1, losing 46-9 in Los Angeles to a Rams team that won 4 games last season. They only managed 10 first downs to the Rams’ 19 and moved the chains at a 13.97% worse rate than their…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Cincinnati Bengals: 2017 Week 2 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (0-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (0-1) When I saw this line was -3 in favor of the Bengals last week, I thought about locking in the pick a week in advance. Three points is usually the standard adjustment for homefield advantage, so that line suggested these two teams were…
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Continue reading →: 2017 Week 1 NFL Pick Results
2017 Straight Up: 9-6 Against the Spread: 7-8 Pick of the Week: 1-0 High Confidence: 2-1 Medium Confidence: 1-2 Money Picks (Medium confidence and higher): 4-3 Low Confidence: 2-1 No Confidence: 1-4 Upset Picks: 1-2 Since 2013 Straight Up: 685-394-4 (63.43%) Against the Spread: 559-496-28 (52.91%) Pick of the Week:…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings: 2017 Week 1 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (0-0) at Minnesota Vikings (0-0) This line favors the hometown Vikings by a field goal, suggesting these two teams are more or less equal. I have the Saints with two fewer wins than the Vikings in my season preview (10 vs. 8) and I have the Saints…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos: 2017 Week 1 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (0-0) at Denver Broncos (0-0) The Chargers have won a combined 9 games over the past 2 seasons, but they have had so much bad luck in terms of injuries and close losses. They’ve ranked 26th and 31st over the past 2 seasons respectively in adjusted games…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans: 2017 Week 1 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (0-0) at Tennessee Titans (0-0) This line favors the Titans by 2.5 points, suggesting the Raiders are a little bit better than the Titans. I think that’s backward. The Raiders won 12 games last season, while the Titans won just 9, but I think the Titans enter the…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns: 2017 Week 1 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) at Cleveland Browns (0-0) This is one of the games where I just don’t have a strong lean either way. The Steelers are arguably the most complete team in the NFL, while the Browns are one of the worst, but this line is right about where it’s…
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