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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Cleveland Browns: 2016 Week 16 NFL Pick
San Diego Chargers (5-9) at Cleveland Browns (0-14) Betting on winless teams is usually a good idea, as teams that are 0-8 or worse are 34-22 ATS since 1989. However, no one seems to have told that to the Browns, who have failed to cover in 8 straight games and…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks: 2016 Week 16 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (5-8-1) at Seattle Seahawks (9-4-1) The last time these two teams faced each other, it was a defensive matchup that ended in a 6-6 tie. However, the Cardinals actually significantly outplayed the Seahawks in that game, winning the first down battle 23 to 11 and the first down…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Oakland Raiders: 2016 Week 16 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (7-7) at Oakland Raiders (11-3) The Raiders are 11-3, but are not nearly as good as their record suggests, as their record is largely the result of a 5-0 record in games decided by a field goal or less and a league best +15 turnover margin. Turnover margins…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Chicago Bears: 2016 Week 16 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (7-6-1) at Chicago Bears (3-11) The Bears narrowly lost at home last week to the Packers, but they were impressive even in defeat. They won the first down battle 29-20 and the first down rate battle by 11.14% and only lost on a last second field goal because…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers: 2016 Week 16 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (7-7) at Green Bay Packers (8-6) The Vikings got blown out at home last week as 4.5 point home favorites, losing 34-6 to the Indianapolis Colts. It was a stunning result, but a major outlier for a Vikings team who previously hadn’t lost a game by more than…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles: 2016 Week 16 NFL Pick
New York Giants (10-4) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-9) Prior to the season, the Eagles were on my underrated list and I bet the over on their over/under of 6.5 wins. When they started the season 3-0, that looked like a wise bet. However, since that 3-0 start, the Eagles have…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings: 2016 Week 15 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (6-7) at Minnesota Vikings (7-6) Minnesota was dealt a huge blow when they lost safety Harrison Smith for likely the rest of the regular season with an ankle injury. They were impressive in their first game without him last week in Jacksonville, but he’s arguably the best safety…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Washington Redskins: 2016 Week 15 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (5-8) at Washington Redskins (7-5-1) This line has shifted from 4 on the early line to 6.5 in the past week, which I think gives us decent value with the Panthers. The Panthers are 5-8 and incredibly banged up on the offensive line, but 5 of their 8…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Denver Broncos: 2016 Week 15 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (11-2) at Denver Broncos (8-5) Tom Brady has had a lot of success in his career, but the Denver Broncos have always been his achilles heel. They’re the only team in the league he has a losing record against and he is just 2-7 in his career…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys: 2016 Week 15 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-5) at Dallas Cowboys (11-2) The Buccaneers are getting a lot of attention right now thanks to a 5-game winning streak that has improved their record to 8-5 and pushed them into a tie for first place in the NFC South with the Atlanta Falcons. As a…
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