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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals: 2016 Week 15 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (5-8) at Arizona Cardinals (5-7-1) Both of these teams have losing records, but both have played significantly better than their record would suggest. In fact, the Saints have a +9 offensive touchdown differential, tied for 4th best in the NFL, and the Cardinals have a +8 offensive…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at New York Giants: 2016 Week 15 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (9-4) at New York Giants (9-4) At first glance, these teams appear very similar. Both teams are 9-4, but both teams have also won a lot of close games. In fact, between the two teams, 16 of their 18 wins have come by 7 points or fewer. Detroit…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals: 2016 Week 15 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (8-5) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-7-1) The Steelers are getting a lot of attention and rightfully so. They are red hot right now in a league that lacks top level teams and they are arguably the 3rd scariest team in the league right now behind New England and Dallas.…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills: 2016 Week 15 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (0-13) at Buffalo Bills (6-7) Typically, betting on winless teams is a good idea, as teams that are 0-8 or worse are 34-21 ATS since 1989. On top of that, road underdogs on a 7+ game losing streak are 56-30 since 1989. However, no one seems to have…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans: 2016 Week 15 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-11) at Houston Texans (7-6) The Jaguars are on an 8-game losing streak and are coming off of one of their least impressive performances of the season, losing at home by 9 despite winning the turnover battle, against a Minnesota team that was missing their best defensive player,…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons: 2016 Week 15 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (1-12) at Atlanta Falcons (8-5) Since beating the lowly Rams by 28 on Monday Night Football back in week 1, the 49ers have lost 12 straight games, by an average of 14.17 points per game. This line is very high at 13.5, but not when you consider…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs: 2016 Week 15 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (7-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (10-3) One of these teams has 11 more offensive touchdowns on the season than their opponents and the other one has 3 fewer offensive touchdowns on the season than their opponents. By looking at their records, you’d think 10-win Kansas City had the…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at New York Jets: 2016 Week 15 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (8-5) at New York Jets (4-9) The Dolphins pulled off the home upset victory last week over the Cardinals, despite being without a trio of key defenders, linebackers Kiko Alonso and Jelani Jenkins and defensive end Mario Williams, all of whom return this week. It was a game…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears: 2016 Week 15 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (7-6) at Chicago Bears (3-10) The Packers got a huge home win over the Seahawks last week, handing Seattle their biggest loss in the Russell Wilson era, 38-10. Unfortunately for them, teams are just 61-80 ATS off of a home win as underdogs, as teams in that…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Baltimore Ravens: 2016 Week 15 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (5-8) at Baltimore Ravens (7-6) Much like many Ravens teams in recent memory, this Ravens team has a great defense, but an underwhelming offense. They enter this game 30th in first down rate, but 3rd in first down rate allowed and 15th in first down rate differential. The…