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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2023 Week 16 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (8-6) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-7) The Bengals have surprisingly won three straight games with backup quarterback Jake Browning under center, but two of those games required overtime and I expect things to be tougher for Jake Browning going forward, as teams now have more tape on him, going…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Chargers: 2023 Week 16 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (8-6) at Los Angeles Chargers (5-9) This might sound crazy since the Chargers were blown out by 42 points last week against the mediocre Raiders, but I actually like the Chargers a good amount this week, as 12.5-point home underdogs against the Bills, a big shift from -9.5…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Los Angeles Rams: 2023 Week 16 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (7-7) at Los Angeles Rams (7-7) Normally, the rule of thumb with Thursday Night Football is to take the home team in a non-divisional matchup as long as they are at least decently favored, as it’s tough for a team to travel on a short week and…
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Continue reading →: 2023 Week 15 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week CHI 17 (+3) CLE 16 Upset Pick +135 High Confidence Picks BAL 26 (-3) JAX 20 Medium Confidence Picks DET 27 DEN 24 (+4.5) MIA 24 (-7) NYJ 13 CAR 17 (+3) ATL 16 Upset Pick +130 DAL 28 (+2) BUF 26 Upset Pick +115 Low…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders: 2023 Week 15 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (5-8) at Las Vegas Raiders (5-8) This line, favoring the Raiders by 3 at home, seems a little low. The Chargers have been the better team statistically this season, but not by much, leading in yards per play differential -0.39 to -0.40 and first down rate -2.54%…
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Continue reading →: 2023 Week 14 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week DEN 24 (+3) LAC 23 Upset Pick +130 High Confidence Picks DET 27 CHI 26 (+3.5) Medium Confidence Picks DAL 26 PHI 24 (+3.5) GB 20 NYG 16 (+6.5) PIT 16 (-5.5) NE 6 HOU 19 (-3) NYJ 13 Low Confidence Picks CLE 17 JAX 16…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2023 Week 14 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (2-10) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5) If this were a Sunday or Monday game, I wouldn’t have interest in betting this game, as this line, favoring the Steelers by 5.5 points at home, is about right, with these two teams about three points apart in my roster rankings.…
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Continue reading →: 2023 Week 13 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week PHI 24 (+3) SF 23 Upset Pick +130 High Confidence Picks None Medium Confidence Picks PIT 20 ARZ 16 (+6.5) LAC 20 NE 17 (+5.5) NYJ 17 (+2) ATL 15 Upset Pick +120 Low Confidence Picks HOU 27 (-3) DEN 23 TEN 20 (+1.5) IND 19…
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Continue reading →: Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys: 2023 Week 13 NFL Pick
Seattle Seahawks (6-5) at Dallas Cowboys (8-3) Normally, betting a big non-divisional home favorite on Thursday Night Football is a good idea, as it’s very tough for an inferior team to travel on a short week and compete with a superior team, unless it’s a divisional matchup, leading to non-divisional…
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Continue reading →: 2023 Week 12 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week BAL 27 (-3) LAC 20 High Confidence Picks DET 31 (-7.5) GB 19 DEN 21 (-1) CLE 16 Medium Confidence Picks DAL 35 (-12.5) WAS 19 SF 31 (-7) SEA 20 CHI 24 (+3) MIN 23 Upset Pick +130 LAR 24 (-2) ARZ 19 HOU 27…