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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at New York Jets: 2014 Week 4 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (2-1) at New York Jets (1-2) This line seems too low. On paper, the Lions should be at least field goal favorites here and win by at least a field goal even on the road against the Jets. Even after beating the Packers, I still think the Lions…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Oakland Raiders in London: 2014 Week 4 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (1-2) at Oakland Raiders (0-3) in London The Dolphins should cover this spread fairly easily as mere 3.5 point favorites in a neutral site game against the pathetic Raiders. This line was at 7 last week before the Dolphins got blown out at home by the Chiefs. Obviously…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings: 2014 Week 4 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (2-1) at Minnesota Vikings (1-2) Atlanta dominated last week at home against the Buccaneers, winning 56-14, moving the chains at an 82.05% rate, as opposed to 47.83% for the Buccaneers. However, now they go on the road to Minnesota and they haven’t had nearly as much success on…
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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans: 2014 Week 4 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (2-1) at Houston Texans (2-1) Both of these teams started a surprising 2-0 after finishing with a top-10 pick last season and then fell flat in their 3rd game of the season last week to fall to 2-1. However, one team is significantly better than the other. While…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys: 2014 Week 4 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (1-2) at Dallas Cowboys (2-1) This is a tough one. On one hand, the Saints’ road struggles are well documented and they’ve been especially bad over the past two seasons. Just this season, they’ve already lost in Atlanta and Cleveland as road favorites. The Saints are 3-9…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Baltimore Ravens: 2014 Week 4 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (2-1) at Baltimore Ravens (2-1) Baltimore is usually an auto-bet at home as long as they aren’t big favorites. The Ravens are 42-10 at home since 2008, Joe Flacco and John Harbaugh’s first season with the team. As a result, they are 20-11 ATS as home favorites of…
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Continue reading →: New York Giants at Washington Redskins: 2014 Week 4 NFL Pick
New York Giants (1-2) at Washington Redskins (1-2) The Redskins actually lead the league in rate of moving the chains differential by a wide margin at 14.08%, but most of that game in that domination against the terrible Jaguars in which they had a rate of moving the chains differential…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers: 2014 Week 4 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (3-0) at San Francisco 49ers (1-2) Ordinarily, I’d be all over the 49ers here considering how good they’ve been as big favorites and how good they’ve been off of a loss in the Jim Harbaugh era. Since 2011, the 49ers are 7-4-1 ATS off of a loss and…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts: 2014 Week 4 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (1-2) at Indianapolis Colts (1-2) The Titans were 7 point underdogs in Cincinnati last week and got blown out by the score of 33-7. Now they’re 7.5 point underdogs in Indianapolis. I think this week will go a little differently for several reasons. For one, the Colts aren’t…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2014 Week 4 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1) The Buccaneers were blown out in Atlanta last week 56-14. A similar thing should happen this week in Pittsburgh right? Not necessarily. Teams are 45-24 ATS since 2002 coming off of 35+ point losses. Teams tend to be undervalued, overlooked, and embarrassed…
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