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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers: 2014 Week 5 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (2-2) at San Francisco 49ers (2-2) I’m completely torn on this one as there’s good reasons to take each side. On one hand, the 49ers usually cover as favorites of 3 or more as they’ve always beaten up on bad teams in the Jim Harbaugh era. They…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2014 Week 5 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-4) Jacksonville was in a perfect spot to finally cover the spread last week. They were 13.5 point underdogs, so they had a lot of room to play with, as a result of the fact that they lost by 21+ points in two straight…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys: 2014 Week 5 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (3-1) at Dallas Cowboys (3-1) The Cowboys have greatly exceeded my expectations. By far the biggest surprise has been the play of their defense. They haven’t been good or anything, but considering the complete lack of talent they came into the season with, a lot of credit needs…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers: 2014 Week 5 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (2-2) at Green Bay Packers (2-2) I thought about waiting until we found out Teddy Bridgewater’s status for this one and who the starting quarterback would be for the Vikings, but I have a feeling this line is going to increase closer to game time so I want…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at New England Patriots: 2014 Week 5 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (3-0) at New England Patriots (2-2) The Patriots are in three spots this week that have easily been auto-bets for them in the Bill Belichick/Tom Brady era. They are 1.5 point underdogs here at home. They are coming off of a loss. And they are facing an opponent…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints: 2014 Week 5 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-3) at New Orleans Saints (1-3) The Saints are 1-3, which has caused some people to hit the panic button for them, much like they did for the Packers last week (how did that work out?). The Saints did not look good in Dallas last week, but…
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Continue reading →: Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants: 2014 Week 5 NFL Pick
Atlanta Falcons (2-2) at New York Giants (2-2) The Falcons’ road woes are well documented and they reared their head again last week as the Falcons lost to the Vikings and rookie quarterback Teddy Bridgewater in Minnesota, a week after blowing out the Buccaneers 56-14 on Thursday Night Football. Now…
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Continue reading →: Rate of Moving the Chains – Week 5
What is this? This is rate of moving the chains, which is my primary statistic for handicapping games. It holds the assumption that the goal of any team on any given 1st and 10 (or 1st and goal) is to move the chains (or score). In order to figure out…
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Continue reading →: 2014 Week 4 NFL Pick Results
Against the Spread: 8-4-1 Straight Up: 9-4 Pick of the Week: 1-0 High Confidence: 0-0 Medium Confidence: 1-2 Low Confidence: 5-1-1 No Confidence: 1-1 Upset Picks: 2-0 Against the Spread: 39-21-1 Straight Up: 36-25 Pick of the Week: 3-1 High Confidence: 1-3 Medium Confidence: 14-4 Low Confidence: 11-6-1 No Confidence:…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs: 2014 Week 4 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (2-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (1-2) This is another game where there’s been significant line movement as the Patriots were 6.5 point favorites last week in this game and now they’re 3.5 point favorites, after the Patriots barely beat the Raiders in New England and the Chiefs…
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