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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders 2014 Off-Season Report
2013 Recap Before Reggie McKenzie and Dennis Allen came in, the Raiders were one of the most poorly run franchises in football, towards the end of the Al Davis era and ensuing Hue Jackson era, which saw him trade a 1st and 2nd round pick for Carson Palmer weeks after…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns 2014 Off-Season Report
2013 Recap The Browns have been the picture of turmoil since returning to the NFL in the 1999 season. In that time period, they’ve had 7 different head coaches, 5 different general managers, 3 different principal owners, 20 different starting quarterbacks, and 0 playoff wins. They are about to get…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks: 2013 NFC Championship Pick
San Francisco 49ers (14-4) at Seattle Seahawks (14-3) I almost never go against the Seahawks at home and with good reason. Since 2007, the Seahawks are 39-19 ATS at home, including 23-11 ATS as home favorites. They have been especially good over the past two years, as they’ve broken out…
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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at Denver Broncos: 2013 AFC Championship Pick
New England Patriots (13-4) at Denver Broncos (14-3) One of the keys to successful handicapping of NFL games is to figure out which situations certain teams tend to do well in. This is easier when the team has had the same quarterback and/or head coach for a long time. Well…
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Continue reading →: 2013 Divisional Round Pick Results
Wild Card Straight Up: 3-1 Against the Spread: 1-2-1 Pick of the Week: 0-0 High Confidence: 0-1 Medium Confidence: 0-0 Low Confidence: 0-0-1 No Confidence: 1-1 Upset Picks: 0-1 2013 Straight Up: 177-86-1 (.673) Against the Spread: 147-108-9 (.576) Pick of the Week: 10-6-1 High Confidence: 24-9-1 Medium Confidence: 32-26…
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Continue reading →: Rate of Moving the Chains – Conference Championship
What is this? This is rate of moving the chains, which is my primary statistic for handicapping games. It holds the assumption that the goal of any team on any given 1st and 10 (or 1st and goal) is to move the chains (or score). In order to figure out…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars 2014 Off-season Report
2013 Recap When the Jaguars started 0-8 with all 8 losses coming by double digits, it looked like they were on their way to all-time bad status and maybe a 0-16 season. They didn’t finish quite that bad, as they went 4-4 after the bye to finish 4-12, but I…
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Continue reading →: San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos: 2013 AFC Divisional Round Pick
San Diego Chargers (10-7) at Denver Broncos (13-3) This is one I’m completely torn on. On one hand, the Chargers are in the better spot. The Broncos could be overconfident because they’re at home coming off of a bye. Teams are 14-22 ATS since 2003 as home favorites after a…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots: 2013 AFC Divisional Round Pick
Indianapolis Colts (12-5) at New England Patriots (12-4) The Patriots won 12 games and locked up a first round bye again. They now have a streak of 13 consecutive winning seasons. No one else has an active streak longer than 4. Over the past 13 seasons, they have 12 seasons…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks: 2013 NFC Divisional Round Pick
New Orleans Saints (12-5) at Seattle Seahawks (13-3) Everyone knows about the Seahawks’ home dominance and the Saints’ road struggles. Since 2007, the Seahawks are 39-18 ATS at home, including 23-10 ATS as home favorites, and 12-4 ATS as home favorites of 7 or more. They have been especially good…
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