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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (0-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (2-0) The Texans are off to an 0-2 start, which is not a surprise, as their season began in pretty much the most difficult way imaginable, with games against the Chiefs and Ravens. The bigger concern is that the Texans weren’t particularly competitive in…
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Continue reading →: Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
Detroit Lions (0-2) at Arizona Cardinals (2-0) One of the big early surprises of this young season has been the play of Arizona’s defense, which has the 5th lowest first down rate allowed in the league at 33.88%, after finishing 30th in first down rate allowed with similar personnel in…
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Continue reading →: Washington Mascots at Cleveland Browns: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
Washington Mascots (1-1) at Cleveland Browns (1-1) The Browns got blown out in week 1 in Baltimore, losing 38-7 in a game in which they lost the first down rate differential by 17.39%, but the Ravens are on a dominant regular season run dating back to last season, and the…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Buffalo Bills: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (2-0) at Buffalo Bills (2-0) The Bills made the playoffs with 10 wins last season, but they faced a very easy schedule and their performance against tougher competition is concerning. They went just 1-5 against teams that finished with a winning record, with their only win coming…
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Continue reading →: Tennessee Titans at Minnesota Vikings: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
Tennessee Titans (2-0) at Minnesota Vikings (0-2) It’s weird to see the Vikings be this bad on defense, after years of consistently strong defensive play under Mike Zimmer, but it’s not a fluke, as this is just not a talented unit. The Vikings lost a pair of mainstays on the…
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Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (2-0) at New England Patriots (1-1) As crazy as it might seem, the Patriots seem to have found an upgrade on Tom Brady. In Brady’s final season in New England, the Patriots struggled to get consistent offense, finishing the season 21st in first down rate. That wasn’t…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) at Baltimore Ravens (2-0) This is arguably the biggest game of the early season so far. Not only could it be an AFC Championship preview, but it could also decide the #1 seed in the AFC, as the winner would have a one game lead and…
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Continue reading →: Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
Dallas Cowboys (1-1) at Seattle Seahawks (2-0) It’s funny how narratives change. In 2018, the Cowboys went 10-6 with a 8-2 record in games decided by 7 points or less and they were seen as a team that was good at closing out games. In 2019, they went just 0-5…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (2-0) at New Orleans Saints (1-1) The Saints lost in Las Vegas to the Raiders last week and it seems to be a common narrative this week that the sky is falling in New Orleans. Drew Brees’ production has been questionable through two games and some are…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at New York Giants: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (1-1) at New York Giants (0-2) Going into the season, I noted that the 49ers didn’t have the usual risk factors for a team that has a big decline after an impressive season, as they didn’t have an unsustainably high turnover margin, they didn’t win an unsustainably…
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