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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions: 2020 Week 4 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (1-2) at Detroit Lions (1-2) The Saints are off to one of the most disappointing starts in the league, as this expected Super Bowl contender has started just 1-2, including back-to-back losses as favorites against the Raiders and Packers. The Saints’ early season schedule has been tough…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Dallas Cowboys: 2020 Week 4 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (2-1) at Dallas Cowboys (1-2) Coming into the year, I liked the Cowboys’ chances of being a contender, after tough luck in close games in 2019 (0-5 in games decided by 7 points or fewer after going 8-2 in those type of games with roughly the same team…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2020 Week 4 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (1-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) The Buccaneers lost week one in New Orleans, but that was primarily due to the Buccaneers having a -3 turnover margin, which is not a predictable week-to-week metric. The Buccaneers actually won the first down rate battle by 8.18% in that…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Chicago Bears: 2020 Week 4 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (2-1) at Chicago Bears (3-0) The Colts surprisingly lost week one in Jacksonville, but that was a close game that swung on the Colts -2 turnover margin, which is not a predictable metric on a week-to-week basis. In two games since, the Colts have dominated the Vikings and…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at New York Jets: 2020 Week 4 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (0-3) at New York Jets (0-3) This is a tough one, because there are really no good arguments for either side. Both teams are 0-3 and deservedly so and, with the line being even, this is a straight win/loss pick ‘em. The Broncos came into the season with…
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Continue reading →: 2020 Week 3 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week NYG +3.5 vs. SF High Confidence Picks TB -5 @ DEN CLE -7 vs. WAS Medium Confidence Picks TEN -2.5 @ MIN NO -3 vs. GB CHI +3 @ ATL Low Confidence Picks BAL -3.5 vs. KC IND -12 vs. NYJ NE -6 vs. LV PIT…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Los Angeles Chargers: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (0-2) at Los Angeles Chargers (1-1) This is the toughest game of the week for me, as I have the line calculated right at 6.5, which is where it is on the board, and there aren’t any situational edges on either side. The Panthers are one of the…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Philadelphia Eagles: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (0-2) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-2) The Eagles’ season has gotten off to a terrible start, as not only are they 0-2, but they’re also tied with the Jets with the 2nd lowest first down rate differential in the league at -28. The Eagles were injury ravaged in week…
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Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (2-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-2) I wasn’t high on the Bears coming into the season because their defense wasn’t what it once was and their offense didn’t appear to be noticeably approved. It’s early and they’ve had a relatively easy schedule, but their quarterback play and offensive line…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts: 2020 Week 3 NFL Pick
New York Jets (0-2) at Indianapolis Colts (1-1) The Colts surprisingly lost week 1 in Jacksonville, but that game largely swung on a -2 turnover margin by the Colts, which tends to be very inconsistent on a week-to-week basis, and the Colts bounced back in a big way with a…
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