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Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins: 2020 Week 2 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (1-0) at Miami Dolphins (0-1) The Bills started their season with a big home win over the Jets, winning by score of 27-17 and finishing with a +9.90% first down rate differential, 4th best of the week. That result shifted this line from 3.5 on the early line…
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Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers: 2020 Week 2 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) at Los Angeles Chargers (1-0) The Chargers snuck out a close victory in Cincinnati last week, on the strength of a +2 turnover margin. That was certainly not the norm last season, as the Chargers finished with a 2-9 record in games decided by 8 points…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2020 Week 2 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (0-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-1) The Buccaneers lost by double digits in Tom Brady’s debut in New Orleans last week and, as was seemingly the case every time Brady lost in New England over the past half decade, the questions are now swirling about Tom Brady’s long-term…
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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns: 2020 Week 2 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (0-1) at Cleveland Browns (0-1) Both of these teams lost their season opener. For the Bengals, it was their 22nd loss in their last 25 games, dating back to their week 9 bye in the middle of the 2018 season, including a league worst 2-14 in 2019. The…
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Continue reading →: 2020 Week 1 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week DET -2 vs. CHI High Confidence Picks SF -6.5 vs. ARZ Medium Confidence Picks IND -8 @ JAX GB +2.5 @ MIN ATL +2.5 vs. SEA DAL -2.5 @ LAR Low Confidence Picks BUF -6.5 vs. NYJ NE -6.5 vs. MIA TEN -3 @ DEN CLE…
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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: 2020 Week 1 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (0-0) at Baltimore Ravens (0-0) The Ravens finished last season as far and away the top team in the league in first down rate differential at +8.87%, a significant edge over the 2nd ranked 49ers at 5.29%. They were even better after making some defensive additions, including cornerback…
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Continue reading →: Las Vegas Raiders at Carolina Panthers: 2020 Week 1 NFL Pick
Las Vegas Raiders (0-0) at Carolina Panthers (0-0) The Raiders should be better this season than last season, especially since their offensive line figures to be significantly healthier, but that won’t necessarily translate to more wins, as the Raiders were not as good as their 7-9 record suggested last season.…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Mascots: 2020 Week 1 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) at Washington Mascots (0-0) The Eagles enter the season as arguably the most banged up team in the league. They’ve already lost a pair of expected starting offensive linemen in Andre Dillard and Brandon Brooks to season ending injuries and, while Dillard was replaced by Jason Peters,…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals: 2020 Week 1 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (0-0) at Cincinnati Bengals (0-0) The Chargers won just five games a year ago, but they actually finished the season 7th in first down rate differential at +3.84%. How is that possible? Well, the Chargers went just 2-9 in games decided by 8 points or fewer and…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Giants: 2020 Week 1 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) at New York Giants (0-0) I have these two teams about 7 points apart in my roster rankings, so this line is accurate, favoring the Steelers by 6 points on the road in New York against a Giants team that won’t have any fans. However, this is…
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