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Continue reading →: New England Patriots at New York Jets: 2019 Week 7 NFL Pick
New England Patriots (6-0) at New York Jets (1-4) It’s tough to know what to make of the Jets. Week 1, they lost at home to the Bills, despite winning the turnover battle by 3, posting a -12.41% first down rate in the process. Then they lost quarterback Sam Darnold…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions: 2019 Week 7 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (4-2) at Detroit Lions (2-2-1) The Lions have arguably had the most exciting season of any team in the league. All 5 games they’ve played have been decided by 4 points or fewer and the game that was decided by 4 points was decided on a last second…
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Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants: 2019 Week 7 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (2-3-1) at New York Giants (2-4) This is one of the tougher games of the week to predict. This line favoring the Giants by a field goal at home suggests these two teams are about even and that’s about right. Both the Giants and Cardinals have gotten off…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals: 2019 Week 7 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-4) at Cincinnati Bengals (0-6) A lot of teams are dealing with tough injury situations, but the Bengals might have the worst injury situation in the entire NFL. Already missing left tackle Cordy Glenn and #1 wide receiver AJ Green to begin the season, the Bengals are also…
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Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Seattle Seahawks: 2019 Week 7 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (4-2) at Seattle Seahawks (5-1) At 5-1, some are talking about the Seahawks as one of the top teams in the league, but they have a lot of flaws on their roster and are lucky to be 5-1, with 4 of their 5 wins coming by 4 points…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins: 2019 Week 7 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (5-0) at Washington Redskins (1-5) The 49ers are just one of two undefeated teams left, along with the New England Patriots. The Patriots have the edge in average margin of victory (23.7 vs. 16.6), but that’s largely due to the Patriots having the significant edge in turnover…
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Continue reading →: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills: 2019 Week 7 NFL Pick
Miami Dolphins (0-5) at Buffalo Bills (4-1) The Bills are favored by 17 points at home in this matchup with the Dolphins, the first time the Bills have been favored by this many points since the middle of the Jim Kelly era in 1992. The line is understandable though, as…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Atlanta Falcons: 2019 Week 7 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (3-3) at Atlanta Falcons (1-5) The Rams made a splash move this week to acquire cornerback Jalen Ramsey from the Jaguars for a pair of first round picks, but they still have significant problems on this team. One problem is edge defender, where Clay Matthews remains out…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears: 2019 Week 7 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (5-1) at Chicago Bears (3-2) Coming out of the bye, the Bears get quarterback Mitch Trubisky back from a shoulder injury that cost him almost two full games (he got hurt 3 pass attempts into week 4), but I’m not sure how much that matters for this…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys: 2019 Week 7 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (3-3) at Dallas Cowboys (3-3) The conventional wisdom is that the sky is falling in Dallas, with the Cowboys being on a 3-game losing streak. However, the Cowboys actually have a positive first down rate differential across those three games, at +1.98%. Their -4 turnover margin over those…
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