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Continue reading →: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Rams: 2019 Week 8 NFL Pick
Cincinnati Bengals (0-7) vs. Los Angeles Rams (4-3) in London Typically the rule of thumb in these international games is to pick the favorite, as they are 24-11 ATS all-time and it makes that sense better teams would be better prepared for playing under unusual circumstances. In this matchup, the…
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Continue reading →: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Tennessee Titans: 2019 Week 8 NFL Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-4) at Tennessee Titans (3-4) It’s only one game, but I was impressed with the Titans’ offense in Ryan Tannehill’s first start last week, as they had a 40.98% first down rate for the game, compared to 32.69% in their first 6 games of the season and…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts: 2019 Week 8 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (2-5) at Indianapolis Colts (4-2) The Colts are 4-2 and lead the AFC South, but all 6 of their games could have gone either way. Their average margin of victory is 4.5 points per game. Their average margin of defeat is 6.5 points per game. And none of…
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Continue reading →: Oakland Raiders at Houston Texans: 2019 Week 8 NFL Pick
Oakland Raiders (3-3) at Houston Texans (4-3) The Raiders are 3-3, but they’ve been far worse than their record, as their 3 wins came by a combined 18 points, while their 3 losses came by a combined 56 points, with none coming by fewer than 18 points. It was strange…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills: 2019 Week 8 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (3-4) at Buffalo Bills (5-1) This was maybe the toughest game of the week to decide, as it’s tough to know what to make of either team. The Bills are 5-1, but they have faced the second easiest schedule in the NFL, with their wins coming against the…
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Continue reading →: Green Bay Packers at Kansas City Chiefs: 2019 Week 8 NFL Pick
Green Bay Packers (6-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (5-2) Chiefs fans breathed a collective sigh of relief when they found out that what looked like a potential season ending knee injury for Patrick Mahomes turned out to be relatively minor, with Mahomes even returning to practice in limited fashion this…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Chicago Bears: 2019 Week 8 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (2-5) at Chicago Bears (3-3) I’ve picked against the Chargers every week this season except their blowout win against the hapless Dolphins because I’ve thought the Chargers, who won 12 games last season, were overrated by a public that didn’t understand the value of the players this…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2019 Week 8 NFL Pick
New York Jets (1-5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-4) The Jets got embarrassed at home by the Patriots and their defense last week, managing just a 22.64% first down rate in a 33-0 shutout loss, but that wasn’t really a surprise. The Jets and their offense looked good against the Cowboys…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Minnesota Vikings: 2019 Week 8 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (1-6) at Minnesota Vikings (5-2) This line is pretty big at Minnesota -16, but it’s completely understandable, as this is a matchup between one of the best and one of the worst teams in the league. The Vikings rank 4th in first down rate differential at +6.23% and…
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Continue reading →: 2019 Week 7 NFL Picks
2019 Pick Results Pick of the Week GB -4.5 vs. OAK High Confidence Picks DEN +3.5 vs. KC Medium Confidence Picks DAL -2.5 vs. PHI TEN -2 vs. LAC HOU +1 @ IND ATL +3 vs. LAR NO +4 @ CHI Low Confidence Picks NE -10 @ NYJ CIN +4…
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