-
Continue reading →: Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) at Oakland Raiders (2-9) Earlier this week, I liked the Chiefs a lot in this one. The line was high, with Kansas City being favored by 15.5 points on the road, but this is a matchup of arguably the best and arguably the worst team in…
-
Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at New England Patriots: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (6-4-1) at New England Patriots (8-3) The rule of thumb with the Patriots is to bet them in the second half of the season, once they’ve figured themselves out. They are 66-42 ATS in the final 8 games of the regular season with Tom Brady under center. This…
-
Continue reading →: Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Arizona Cardinals (2-9) at Green Bay Packers (4-6-1) It’s week 13 and the Packers are still undefeated at home and winless on the road. That’s a rare occurrence. In fact, the Packers join the 2009 Patriots as the only teams in the past 30 years to be undefeated at home…
-
Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (8-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-3-1) Both of these teams have had strong seasons, but the Chargers have been a little better. They rank 5th in point differential at +88 and 2nd in first down rate differential at +7.03%, while the Steelers rank 7th in point differential at…
-
Continue reading →: Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Buffalo Bills (4-7) at Miami Dolphins (5-6) These two teams have had pretty similar seasons. Both have struggled statistically, as the Dolphins rank 27th in point differential at -60 and 30th in first down rate differential at -6.03%, while the Bills rank 30th in point differential at -111 and 31st…
-
Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (4-6-1) at Houston Texans (8-3) The Browns have been playing pretty well lately. Their offense has moved the chains at a 44.75% rate in 3 games since firing Hue Jackson and Todd Haley, while their defense has allowed a first down rate of just 33.78% in 7 games…
-
Continue reading →: Chicago Bears at New York Giants: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Chicago Bears (8-3) at New York Giants (3-8) I’ve picked the Bears in all but one of their games this season and have bet on them 5 times, going 5-0 ATS. They’ve been underrated for weeks, as their 3 losses have come by a combined 11 points. Winners of 5…
-
Continue reading →: Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Baltimore Ravens (6-5) at Atlanta Falcons (4-7) The Falcons have been horrendous on defense this season, allowing opponents to pick up a first down or touchdown on 43.02% of their offensive plays, worst in the NFL, but they get a big boost this week with linebacker Deion Jones returning for…
-
Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Detroit Lions: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (10-1) at Detroit Lions (4-7) The book on the Lions since Matt Stafford became a full-time starter in 2011 is to take them in easier games and fade them against tougher opponents. Over that time period, they are 20-39-2 ATS and 20-41 straight up against teams with…
-
Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (10-1) at Dallas Cowboys (6-5) Going into their week 8 bye, the Cowboys were a 3-4 team with a strong defense, but an underwhelming offense. They ranked 4th in first down rate allowed at 31.47%, but just 23rd in first down rate at 33.81%. In order to…
-
Subscribe
Subscribed
Have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
