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Continue reading →: Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos: 2018 Week 15 NFL Pick
Cleveland Browns (5-7-1) at Denver Broncos (6-7) This line favored the Broncos by 6.5 points a week ago, but the line has since dropped all the way down to 2.5. Normally I love going against significant week-to-week line movements like that, as they tend to be an overreaction to a…
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Continue reading →: Houston Texans at New York Jets: 2018 Week 15 NFL Pick
Houston Texans (9-4) at New York Jets (4-9) This is a tough one. On one hand, the Texans have played a lot of close games this year. They are 9-4, but have just 4 wins by more than a touchdown, including just one road win by more than a touchdown,…
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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs: 2018 Week 15 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (10-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (11-2) These two teams met all the way back in week 1, with the Chiefs winning 38-28 in Los Angeles. That game swung on a few plays though, despite it being a 10-point game, as the Chargers turned the ball over twice…
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Continue reading →: 2018 Week 14 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week PHI +3.5 @ DAL High Confidence Picks NO -9.5 @ TB DET -2.5 @ ARZ Medium Confidence Picks TEN -4 vs. JAX CHI +3 vs. LAR OAK +10 vs. PIT WAS +3 vs. NYG IND +4 @ HOU Low Confidence Picks CLE +1.5 vs. CAR BAL…
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Continue reading →: Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks: 2018 Week 14 NFL Pick
Minnesota Vikings (6-5-1) at Seattle Seahawks (7-5) The Seahawks are now 7-5 after a 0-2 start, but this is far from a vintage Seahawks team. Their offense has been solid, ranking 13th in first down rate at 38.09% and improving as the season has gone along, but their defense is…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Buffalo Bills: 2018 Week 14 NFL Pick
New York Jets (3-9) at Buffalo Bills (4-8) These two teams met week 10 in New York in a game the Bills shockingly won 41-10 as 7-point underdogs, despite starting journeyman Matt Barkley, signed 11 days prior, at quarterback. Going into that game, the Bills had a league worst 25.85%…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans: 2018 Week 14 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (6-6) at Houston Texans (9-3) Injuries have been the story this season for the Colts. They started out the season as arguably the most injury plagued team in the league and went 1-5 as a result, but then they ripped off 5 straight wins, before injuries started to…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns: 2018 Week 14 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (6-6) at Cleveland Browns (4-7-1) The Panthers are on a 4-game losing streak after a 6-2 start, but they’ve actually won the first down rate battle in each of their last 3 games. The Panthers lost by 1 in Detroit, in a game in which they missed a…
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Continue reading →: Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys: 2018 Week 14 NFL Pick
Philadelphia Eagles (6-6) at Dallas Cowboys (7-5) The Cowboys got a huge win last week, pulling the upset as 7.5-point favorites against the Saints, a win that helps them as they try to win the NFC East. However, they have another huge game this week against the Eagles, who are…
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Continue reading →: New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
New Orleans Saints (10-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-7) The Saints shockingly lost in Dallas last week, with their high powered offense held to just 10 points in a 13-10 loss, but I’m not really changing my outlook for them going forward. The Cowboys were a capable team at home…
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