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Continue reading →: Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears: 2018 Week 14 NFL Pick
Los Angeles Rams (11-1) at Chicago Bears (8-4) The Bears lost last week in New York to the Giants, but I don’t really hold that against them that much. The Giants have been playing better football over the past month and the Bears were starting a backup quarterback in a…
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Continue reading →: Pittsburgh Steelers at Oakland Raiders: 2018 Week 14 NFL Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers (7-4-1) at Oakland Raiders (2-10) I’ve mentioned this a couple times this season already, but the Steelers historically come out flat on the road as big favorites against a non-divisional opponent. We’ve already seen the Steelers lose in Denver and almost lose in Jacksonville this season, but this…
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Continue reading →: Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans: 2018 Week 14 NFL Pick
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-8) at Tennessee Titans (6-6) The Jaguars pulled off a big home upset victory last week over the Colts, shutting them out in a 6-0 victory as 4.5-point underdogs. It was a reminder that, while their defense hasn’t quite as good as last season, it’s still largely the…
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Continue reading →: 2018 Week 13 NFL Picks
Pick of the Week LAR -9.5 @ DET High Confidence NE -5 vs. MIN BUF +4 @ MIA LAC +3.5 @ PIT Medium Confidence ATL -1.5 vs. BAL CLE +6 @ HOU CAR -3 @ TB Low Confidence KC -14 @ OAK TEN -8 vs. NYJ DEN -5.5 @ CIN…
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Continue reading →: Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Indianapolis Colts (6-5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-8) This is a tough one. On one hand, we’ve lost a lot of line value with the Colts. The Jaguars were just 2.5-point home underdogs against the Colts on the early line last week and -2.5 road underdogs in Indianapolis a few weeks…
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Continue reading →: Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Washington Redskins (6-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-6) The Eagles have had a disappointing season at 5-6, but they’ve been better than their record. Five of their 6 losses have come by a touchdown or fewer, despite the fact that they’ve had one of the worst turnover margins in the league…
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Continue reading →: San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
San Francisco 49ers (2-9) at Seattle Seahawks (6-5) The Seahawks have a solid record at 6-5, but this is not nearly the Seahawks team we’ve seen in recent years. Despite their record, they rank 22nd in first down rate differential at -2.78%. Their offense has been solid, moving the chains…
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Continue reading →: New York Jets at Tennessee Titans: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
New York Jets (3-8) at Tennessee Titans (5-6) The Titans have been one of the most unpredictable teams in the league this season, having the 3rd most DVOA variance in the league, only ahead of the Bills (who have started 4 different quarterbacks) and the Titans’ opponents this week, the…
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Continue reading →: Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Denver Broncos (5-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-6) The Bengals got off to a solid start to the season, but they’ve had terrible injury luck and are now one of the worst teams in the league with backup Jeff Driskel, a 2016 6th round pick, making his first career start this…
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Continue reading →: Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2018 Week 13 NFL Pick
Carolina Panthers (6-5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-7) The Panthers, once 6-2, are losers of 3 straight, but they could have easily won each of their past two games. The Panthers lost by 1 in Detroit two weeks ago, in a game in which they missed a field goal, an…
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